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    St. Mary's Stadium
    6°
    2
    1 - 3 FT
    New Forest derby
    Home team
    Away team
    Prob. %
    1X2
    Pred
    Correct score
    Avg. goals
    Weather conditions
    Coef.
     Score 
    Live
    coef.
    Round 25
    EPL
    222355
    21-3
    1 - 3
    3.40
    6°
    -167
    +475 +280 -167 no no no
    FT
    1 - 3(0 - 2)
    -
    - - -
    Head to head
    Southampton 3
    50%
    Draw 0
    0%
    Bournemouth 3
    50%
    View all
    Match Intro

    Premier League strugglers Southampton will host Bournemouth at St Mary's Stadium on February 15, 2025, GMT.

    Southampton languishes at the bottom of the standings in 20th place with 9 points, while Bournemouth sits in a more comfortable 7th place with 40 points in the league.

    Southampton's recent form has been concerning, with 5 losses in their last 6 home matches, contrasting Bournemouth's strong performance with a 67% win rate in their last 6 outings.

    Looking at their historical head-to-head encounters in the Premier League, Southampton has suffered defeat in 50% of their last 6 matches against Bournemouth.

    The match is expected to be a crucial one for struggling Southampton against the higher-placed Bournemouth.

    The model predicts that over 2.5 goals will be scored in this encounter between Southampton and Bournemouth.

    New Forest Derby: Over 2.5 goals to be scored.

    04/02/2025
    Standings up to 15/02/2025
    PTS GP W D L GF GA +/-
    1
    Liverpool 57 24 17 6 1 58 23 35
    2
    Arsenal 50 24 14 8 2 49 22 27
    3
    Nottingham Forest 47 24 14 5 5 40 27 13
    4
    Chelsea 43 25 12 7 6 47 34 13
    5
    Manchester City 41 24 12 5 7 48 35 13
    6
    Newcastle United 41 24 12 5 7 42 29 13
    7
    Bournemouth 40 24 11 7 6 41 28 13
    8
    Brighton 37 25 9 10 6 38 38 0
    9
    Aston Villa 37 24 10 7 7 34 37 -3
    10
    Fulham 36 24 9 9 6 36 32 4
    11
    Brentford 31 24 9 4 11 42 42 0
    12
    Crystal Palace 30 24 7 9 8 28 30 -2
    13
    Manchester United 29 24 8 5 11 28 34 -6
    14
    Tottenham 27 24 8 3 13 48 37 11
    15
    Everton 27 24 6 9 9 25 30 -5
    16
    West Ham 27 24 7 6 11 29 46 -17
    17
    Wolverhampton 19 24 5 4 15 34 52 -18
    18
    Leicester City 17 24 4 5 15 25 53 -28
    19
    Ipswich Town 16 24 3 7 14 22 49 -27
    20
    Southampton 9 24 2 3 19 18 54 -36
    Champions League
    Europa League
    Relegation
    Win 2
    33%
    Draw 0
    0%
    Lost 4
    67%
    View all
    Win 4
    67%
    Draw 1
    17%
    Lost 1
    17%
    View all
    Win 1
    17%
    Draw 0
    0%
    Lost 5
    83%
    View all
    Win 4
    67%
    Draw 2
    33%
    Lost 0
    0%
    View all

    Overall statistics

    • Overall
    • Home/Away

    Played games

    30
    27

    Goals

    Scored 31
    Avg.
    per game
    1.03
    Conceded 63
    Avg.
    per game
    2.1
    Scored 48
    Avg.
    per game
    1.78
    Conceded 30
    Avg.
    per game
    1.11

    in last 30 matches Scored a goal in last 27 matches
    Yes No
    19 (63%)
    11 (37%)
    Yes No
    21 (78%)
    6 (22%)
    Under
    Over
    Recent matches

    Under/Over

    8 22
    27% 73%
    1.5
    Goals

    Under/Over

    6 21
    22% 78%

    Under/Over

    12 18
    40% 60%
    2.5
    Goals

    Under/Over

    13 14
    48% 52%

    Under/Over

    17 13
    57% 43%
    3.5
    Goals

    Under/Over

    18 9
    67% 33%

    Both scored (Yes/No)

    Yes
    17
    57% 43%
    No
    13
    Yes
    15
    56% 44%
    No
    12
    Goals by time period
    • Scored
    • Conceded
    Goals
    1 2 3 4 5 6 7
    0' 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT
    Goals
    3 6 9 12 15 18 21
    0' 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT

    Shots

    Avg.
    per game
    Total shots 304 10.13
    Blocked 87 2.9

    43%OFF target

    36%ON target

    72% Inside box

    28% Outside box

    Avg.
    per game
    Total shots 437 16.19
    Blocked 106 3.93

    43%OFF target

    36%ON target

    68% Inside box

    32% Outside box

    Passes
    Total 15201
    Avg.
    per game
    506.7
    Accurate 13287
    87%
    Ball Possession
    54%

    Total 10255
    Avg.
    per game
    379.81
    Accurate 8119
    79%
    Ball Possession
    47%
    Avg. event time
    37'
    33'
    0' 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT
    Scored
    Conceded
    46'
    28'
    0' 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT
    Total attacks
    Southampton 2816
    Avg. 93.87
    Bournemouth 2698
    Avg. 99.93
    Dangerous attacks
    Southampton 1318
    Avg. 43.93
    Bournemouth 1402
    Avg. 51.93

    Others

    30 Played games 27
    Avg.
    per game
    Total Total Avg.
    per game
    0.1 3 Clean sheets 7 0.26
    4.23 127 Corners 163 6.04
    6.1 183 Goal kicks 164 6.07
    10.27 308 Throws in 376 13.93
    1.67 50 Offsides 49 1.81
    0.1 1/ 3 Penalties 7/ 8 0.3
    3.8 114 GK saves 99 3.67
    Disciplinary
    Avg.
    per game
    Total Total Avg.
    per game
    0.1 3
    Red cards
    0 0
    2.67 80
    Yellow cards
    68 2.52
    11.83 355 Fouls 363 13.44
    17 510 Tackles 520 19.26
    Easy 1
    Severe 5
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    1
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    3
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    1
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    3
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    4
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    2
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    3
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    1
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    5
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    3
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    5
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    2
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    3
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    3
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    2
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    5
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    4
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    5
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    1
    View all

    <
    October 2026
    Football predictions
    >
    {"9":"September 2026","10":"October 2026","11":"November 2026"}
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