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Probability of Relegation Escape Looking Unlikely as Salernitana travel to Lazio

Lazio vs Salernitana - 12/04/2024

10/04/24
Probability of Relegation Escape Looking Unlikely as Salernitana travel to Lazio
ErreRoberto / Shutterstock.com
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The opening fixture of the weekend in the Italian Serie A features a club who know they need a miracle to stay up this season.

The match between Lazio and Salernitana will be played on the 12th of April at the Stadio Olimpico. The hosts begin this round of games in 8th place on 46 points while the visitors are sitting bottom of the table on 15 points.

Lazio come into the match on the back of a disappointing 1-0 defeat at the hands of Roma in the Derby della Capitale.

Roma scored in the 42nd minute and Lazio could not find the equaliser in the second half.

The defeat against Roma means Lazio have won only 2 of their last 8 fixtures in all competitions.

The wins have come over Frosinone away and Juventus at home in Serie A but there have been defeats against AC Milan and Udinese at home plus Fiorentina away in Serie A.

Lazio also tasted defeat at Bayern Munich in the Champions League and Juventus in the Coppa Italia.

The Stats show Lazio have been struggling in recent home Serie A matches. They have won only 1 of their last 5 league games on home soil.

There have been 3 defeats in those 5 matches and a 0-0 draw with Napoli. Only one team has scored in 4 of Lazio’s 6 most recent home Serie A fixtures.

Salernitana travel to the Stadio Olimpico having picked up a point thanks to a 2-2 draw at home with Sassuolo in Serie A last weekend. It was Sassuolo that opened the scoring in the 37th minute and they doubled their advantage before halftime.

Into the second half and Salernitana did well to mount a comeback, scoring in the 52nd minute and netting the equaliser in added time.

The draw with Sassuolo came on the back of 3 straight defeats in the league for Salernitana. There was a 1-0 home defeat at the hands of Lecce plus losses at Cagliari and Bologna.

Trends show Salernitana have failed to win any of their last 14 fixtures in all competitions. They have won just 1 of their last 24 away Serie A matches and have failed to score a goal in 3 of their 5 most recent away trips in the league.

Looking ahead to the team news and Lazio are without the injured trio of Mattia Zaccagni, Manuel Lazzari, and Ivan Provedel.

Salernitana also have three players in the treatment room, with Norbert Gyömber, Guillermo Ochoa, and Grigoris Kastanos unavailable. There are also doubts over the fitness of former Roma defender Federico Fazio.

Every game looks difficult for Salernitana given their league position and form. Lazio have been in a bit of a slump themselves, especially at home but will see this as an opportunity to win their second successive home Serie A game. We expect this match to end in a comfortable home win, with Lazio keeping a clean sheet.

Home team
Away team
Probability %
1X2
Pred
Correct score
Avg. goals
Weather conditions
Coef.
Score
Live
coef.
It1
592417
1
3 - 0
3.13
21°
1.33
1.33 5.25 10.00 no no no
FT
4 - 1(3 - 1)
-
- - -
Serie A Regular Season
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Inter 89 34 28 5 1 63
2
Milan 70 34 21 7 6 25
3
Juventus 65 34 18 11 5 21
4
Bologna 63 34 17 12 5 22
5
Roma 59 34 17 8 9 20
6
Atalanta 57 33 17 6 10 24
7
Lazio 55 34 17 4 13 8
8
Fiorentina 50 33 14 8 11 13
9
Napoli 50 34 13 11 10 9
10
Torino 46 34 11 13 10 0
11
Monza 44 34 11 11 12 -8
12
Genoa 42 34 10 12 12 -2
13
Lecce 36 34 8 12 14 -18
14
Cagliari 32 34 7 11 16 -23
15
Frosinone 31 34 7 10 17 -20
16
Hellas Verona 31 34 7 10 17 -14
17
Empoli 31 34 8 7 19 -24
18
Udinese 29 34 4 17 13 -19
19
Sassuolo 26 34 6 8 20 -30
20
Salernitana 15 34 2 9 23 -47

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