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Can Mainz 05 end a two-match losing streak against Union Berlin in six-point relegation affair?

Mainz vs Union Berlin - 07/02/2024

Can Mainz 05 end a two-match losing streak against Union Berlin in six-point relegation affair?
Vitalii Vitleo / Shutterstock.com
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Mainz 05 lost their last two Bundesliga matches and are staring relegation down the barrel.

The 05ers are hoping to end their poor run of form in a relegation six-pointer versus Union Berlin. Will our algorithm predict a win for Mainz?

The clubs will clash on Wednesday night in a special midweek fixture to cash in their game in hand. Mainz are 17th in the standings, with 11 points from 19 matches.

They have won the fewest games in the Bundesliga this term, with just one.

Union Berlin are 15th in the standings and two points above the relegation zone. This is a pure six-point relegation match.

Mainz are five points from safety. A win over Union won’t get them out of the bottom two, but it will help.

The recent trend between these clubs is the home team picking up points.

The home team won three and drew one of the last four matches between Mainz and Union Berlin. Mainz will hope that home trend leads to a win.

Union defeated Mainz earlier this season 4-1. Kevin Behrens scored three times and Milos Pantovic added a fourth for Union. Anthony Caci scored Mainz’s only goal of the game.

Although it was a high-scoring match, Mainz’s recent matches saw a low-scoring trend. There were under 2.5 goals scored in Mainz’s last 10 Bundesliga matches.

Union Berlin also saw a low-scoring goal stats trend in recent weeks. Their last five matches in the Bundesliga had under 2.5 goals.

The Irons are the worst away team in the Bundesliga. They took just four points from 10 road matches. Their last two away games ended in defeat.

Mainz’s Jae-Sung Lee is at the AFC Asian Cup and will miss the match. Brajan Gruda is a doubt due to a hip injury. Nelson Weiper continues to rehab after knee surgery.

The 05ers are the joint-lowest scorers in the league, with 14 goals this season. Union scored the second-fewest goals with just 18.

Union’s Aissa Laidouni is on international duty. Christopher Trimmel is suspended for the fixture. Jerome Roussillon and Josip Juranovic are both in line to return from injury.

This is a relegation six-pointer between two of the league’s worst attacks. So, which side will secure maximum points?

Our AI prediction is for a Mainz home win, as they improve their chances of survival.

The trend of the home team getting a result will continue, as Mainz win 2-0. The trend of under 2.5 goals will continue.

Home team
Away team
Probability %
1X2
Pred
Correct score
Avg. goals
Weather conditions
Coef.
Score
Live
coef.
De1
363331
1
2 - 0
1.93
2.00
2.00 3.30 4.00 down up up
FT
1 - 1(1 - 1)
-
- - -
Bundesliga Regular Season
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Bayer Leverkusen 84 32 26 6 0 59
2
Bayern München 69 32 22 3 7 49
3
Stuttgart 67 32 21 4 7 34
4
RB Leipzig 63 32 19 6 7 38
5
Borussia Dortmund 60 32 17 9 6 24
6
Eintracht Frankfurt 45 32 11 12 9 1
7
Freiburg 41 32 11 8 13 -12
8
Hoffenheim 40 32 11 7 14 -8
9
Augsburg 39 32 10 9 13 -8
10
Heidenheim 38 32 9 11 12 -8
11
Werder Bremen 38 32 10 8 14 -9
12
Wolfsburg 37 32 10 7 15 -11
13
Borussia M'gladbach 33 32 7 12 13 -7
14
Bochum 33 32 7 12 13 -24
15
Union Berlin 30 32 8 6 18 -25
16
Mainz 29 32 5 14 13 -17
17
Köln 24 32 4 12 16 -30
18
Darmstadt 17 32 3 8 21 -46

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