Can Luton Town shock Newcastle United for a second time in the PL this season?

Newcastle United vs Luton Town - 03/02/2024

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Luton Town pulled off a shock win earlier this Premier League season, defeating Newcastle United 1-0 at Kenilworth Road. Will our AI algorithm predict another win for Luton Town over the Magpies?

Newcastle United are fresh off a 3-1 win over Aston Villa in midweek. The win ended a dreadful four-game losing streak for the Magpies, who will start the weekend in eighth place.

Luton Town are 17th and just outside the relegation zone. One point separates Rob Edwards’ team from Everton in the race for Premier League survival.

The Hatters ran rampant against Brighton in midweek, winning 4-0. They are unbeaten in their last two games in the league.

Eddie Howe’s Newcastle lost their last two matches at St. James’ Park. A 3-1 loss to Nottingham Forest was followed by a 3-2 defeat to Manchester City.

Forest, City, and Liverpool are the only teams to defeat Newcastle at home in the league.

Luton Town are growing in confidence and that confidence was seen in their recent away fixtures. The Hatters took four points from the last six on offer away from Kenilworth Road.

Edwards’ team has the fourth-worst defence in the division. It has conceded 38 goals this term.

The team’s goal scoring stats aren’t great, as Luton scored the sixth-fewest goals after 22 games, with 28.

One of the big issues Howe and Newcastle have had is goals conceded. The Magpies allowed 33 goals in their opening 22 matches.

It was Newcastle’s poor defending that allowed Luton to pick up a 1-0 win earlier in the campaign, thanks to a goal from Andros Townsend in the 25th minute.

Luton only had 35% of the possession but had 16 shots.

Luton’s Jacob Brown and Tenden Megen could both be fit for the fixture. The two players are recovering from knocks.

One of the recurring trends in Howe’s tenure as Newcastle manager is the number of injuries he has had to deal with.

Currently nine players are suffering from injuries. Both Callum Wilson and Alexander Isak will take late fitness tests to see if they can play.

Harvey Barnes could also undergo a late fitness test. However, there will be no place for Joe Willock, Matt Targett, or Elliott Anderson.

Can Luton pull off another win against Newcastle? The Magpies may have injury issues, but they should pull off a win at home against Luton.

Our score prediction is for Newcastle to win 2-1, with Howe getting another strong goal scoring performance from the team.

Home team
Away team

Probability %

1X2

Pred

Correct score

Avg. goals

Weather conditions

Coef.

Score

Live
coef.

EPL

Newcastle United Luton Town 03/02/2024 16:00

491833

1

2 - 1

3.25

8°

1.40

1.40 4.50 7.00 no no no

FT

4 - 4(2 - 2)

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