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Will free-scoring Manchester City romp at Nottingham Forest?

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City - 28/04/2024

Will free-scoring Manchester City romp at Nottingham Forest?
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Manchester City are scoring goals for fun in the Premier League. The Cityzens scored at least four goals in each of their last four league matches.

Will our algorithm predict another big win for Man City with at least four goals?

Pep Guardiola’s team has the title in their grasp. Although Arsenal are top of the league, only one point separates them from Man City.

Moreover, Manchester City have a game in hand. The pressure is on Arsenal in the title race.

Nottingham Forest also have plenty of pressure on their shoulders. The Reds are 17th in the standings and one point above Luton in the race for relegation safety.

Forest have bemoaned referee decisions in recent weeks and taken to social media to complain about the treatment they have received.

The ownership’s decision to take to social media has added even more pressure to the players on the pitch.

City are on a four-match winning streak in the Premier League. Not only did the Cityzens score at least four goals in each of their last four matches, they played tremendous defence. Only four goals were conceded across those four games.

Manchester City went unbeaten in their last six away matches. They have picked up 35 of their 76 points this season on the road.

Forest lost two of their last three league fixtures. Each match saw at least 2.0 goals. The Reds are a better team playing at the City Ground than on the road.

Nuno Espirito Santo’s team took 20 of their 26 points this season at home. Forest scored 25 goals and conceded 25 goals at the City Ground.

This will be the fourth meeting between Nottingham Forest and Manchester City since the former was promoted in 2022.

Although City claimed wins in their two matches at the Etihad Stadium, Forest claimed a 1-1 draw last season at the City Ground.

With their backs against the wall, Forest will strive to claim what could be a valuable point in the race for survival.

This match will not only have an impact on the relegation zone, but it will have an impact on the title race.

City won 2-0 earlier this season at the Etihad Stadium thanks to goals from Phil Foden and Erling Haaland in the opening 14 minutes. Haaland did not play in midweek against Brighton, as City won 4-0.

However, Haaland scored in his last two appearances in the Premier League for City. He is the league’s Golden Boot leader with 20 goals.

Our algorithm predicts a score of 4-0 in favour of Man City at the City Ground. Guardiola’s team should win a fifth straight game, scoring at least 4.0 goals.

Home team
Away team
Probability %
1X2
Pred
Correct score
Avg. goals
Weather conditions
Coef.
Score
Live
coef.
EPL
162262
2
0 - 4
2.96
11°
1.30
8.00 6.00 1.30 no no no
FT
0 - 2(0 - 1)
-
- - -
Premier League
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Arsenal 83 36 26 5 5 60
2
Manchester City 82 35 25 7 3 54
3
Liverpool 78 36 23 9 4 43
4
Aston Villa 67 36 20 7 9 20
5
Tottenham 60 35 18 6 11 11
6
Newcastle United 56 35 17 5 13 22
7
Chelsea 54 35 15 9 11 11
8
Manchester United 54 35 16 6 13 -3
9
West Ham 49 36 13 10 13 -14
10
Bournemouth 48 36 13 9 14 -11
11
Brighton 47 35 12 11 12 -4
12
Wolverhampton 46 36 13 7 16 -11
13
Fulham 44 36 12 8 16 -4
14
Crystal Palace 43 36 11 10 15 -8
15
Everton 37 36 12 9 15 -11
16
Brentford 36 36 9 9 18 -8
17
Nottingham Forest 29 36 8 9 19 -18
18
Luton Town 26 36 6 8 22 -29
19
Burnley 24 36 5 9 22 -35
20
Sheffield United 16 36 3 7 26 -65

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