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Madrid Derby with Huge Title Implications

Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid - 07/03/2021

04/03/21
Madrid Derby with Huge Title Implications
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There is no doubt the biggest game in the Spanish La Liga on the weekend takes place at the Estadio Wanda Metropolitano as Atletico Madrid meet Real Madrid.

The hosts begin the weekend top of the table on 58 points while the visitors are in second place from 53 points, although Atletico Madrid have a game in hand.

Atletico Madrid come into the match having defeated Villarreal 2-0 away from home last weekend. It was an important victory for the league leaders who had gone 3 games without a win in all competitions. Atletico Madrid were held to a 1-1 draw at Levante and were then defeated by the same opposition three days later at home, which was a hugely disappointing result.

A defeat in the Champions League against Chelsea followed but although this was supposed to be a home fixture, it was played at the Venue Arena Naţională, in Bucharest.

The 2-0 loss against Levante was the first defeat at home for Atletico Madrid in La Liga since the 1st of December 2019 when they lost against Barcelona. There were 22 unbeaten league matches at home for Atletico Madrid between those two defeats.

Trends show there have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of the latest games in all competitions of Atletico Madrid. There has also been under 2.5 goals scored in 3 of their last 5 home La Liga matches.

Real Madrid come into the game having been held to a 1-1 draw at home by Real Sociedad. Despite dropping points, it was a decent result in the end for Real Madrid as they were going to lose the match before scoring a last minute equaliser. That result means Real Madrid are undefeated in their last 6 games in all competitions.

Real Madrid have lost only one of their last 15 La Liga fixtures and are undefeated in their 5 most recent La Liga games, winning 4. Away from home in the league, Real Madrid are undefeated in their last 8 matches and have won each of their last 3 on the road.

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in Real Madrid's last 5 games in all competitions. They have found it difficult to defeat Atletico Madrid away from home and Real Madrid have won only 2 of their last 11 away encounters with their city rivals in all competitions.

Team news and Atletico Madrid continue without the suspended Kieran Trippier. Central defender José Giménez is unlikely to return from injury in time to make the starting XI.

Real Madrid are likely to be without the injured trio of Eden Hazard, Daniel Carvajal, and Éder Militão.

A draw would probably be a decent result for Atletico Madrid and therefore we expect to see a typically solid display from the hosts.

However, there is enough attacking talent in both teams to suggest we could see goals although a draw and under 2.5 goals seems the most likely outcome.

Home team
Away team
Probability %
1X2
Pred
Correct score
Avg. goals
Weather conditions
Coef.
Score
Live
coef.
Es1
303931
X
1 - 1
2.45
13°
3.10
3.04 3.10 2.63 1 -1 -1
FT
1 - 1(1 - 0)
-
- - -
La Liga
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Real Madrid 95 38 29 8 1 61
2
Barcelona 85 38 26 7 5 35
3
Girona 81 38 25 6 7 39
4
Atlético Madrid 76 38 24 4 10 27
5
Athletic Bilbao 68 38 19 11 8 24
6
Real Sociedad 60 38 16 12 10 12
7
Real Betis 57 38 14 15 9 3
8
Villarreal 53 38 14 11 13 0
9
Valencia 49 38 13 10 15 -5
10
Deportivo Alavés 46 38 12 10 16 -10
11
Osasuna 45 38 12 9 17 -11
12
Getafe 43 38 10 13 15 -12
13
Celta Vigo 41 38 10 11 17 -11
14
Sevilla 41 38 10 11 17 -6
15
Real Mallorca 40 38 8 16 14 -11
16
Las Palmas 40 38 10 10 18 -14
17
Rayo Vallecano 38 38 8 14 16 -19
18
Cadiz 33 38 6 15 17 -29
19
UD Almería 21 38 3 12 23 -32
20
Granada CF 21 38 4 9 25 -41

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