Analysis Points Towards a Tense Night as Ukraine and Iceland Meet for a Place at Euro 2024
Ukraine vs Iceland - 26/03/2024
Vitalii Vitleo / Shutterstock.com
2018
We are close to knowing the final three teams who will be playing at the 2024 European Championship and look ahead to one of those matches in this preview.
The Euro 2024 playoff final between Ukraine and Iceland will be played on the 26th of March at the Wrocław Stadium in Poland. The hosts are currently ranked 24th in the world and the visitors are ranked 73rd in the world.
Ukraine come into the match on the back of a 2-1 win at Bosnia and Herzegovina in the Euro 2024 playoff semi-final.
With the score 0-0 at halftime, it was the hosts who opened the scoring in the 56th minute. Time was running out for Ukraine but they equalised in the 85th minute and netted a dramatic winner 3 minutes later.
That win means Ukraine are undefeated in their 4 most recent fixtures, all of which have been played in the European Championship qualifying. There were wins at home over North Macedonia and away to Malta plus a 0-0 draw at home with Italy.
The stats show Ukraine have not been beaten in 21 of their 24 most recent matches in European Championship qualifying.
They are undefeated in their last 9 home European Championship qualifiers and they have seen under 2.5 goals scored in each of their last 6 home games in all competitions.
Iceland travel to the Wrocław Stadium having beat Israel 4-1 away from home in the Euro 2024 playoffs semi-final.
It was a tremendous result for Iceland, especially as they fell behind in the 31st minute. Iceland equalised in the 39th minute and took the lead 3 minutes later.
Iceland extended their advantage in the 83rd minute following a red card for the hosts and scored their fourth goal 3 minutes from time.
The win over Israel means Iceland have won their last 3 fixtures in all competitions. They defeated Guatemala and Honduras in friendlies, keeping a clean sheet in both matches.
However, trends show in their last 17 away games in all competitions, Iceland have recorded only 3 wins.
They have lost 3 of their last 4 away European Championship qualifiers. Iceland have played Ukraine 4 times and are undefeated in each of the last 3 games, winning their most recent encounter 2-0 in a World Cup qualifier in 2017.
Team news: Ukraine could be without Viktor Tsygankov who missed the semi-final due to injury. Oleksandr Zinchenko is set to captain the team from midfield while Artem Dovbyk is expected to start up-front.
Iceland will be hoping Arnor Ingvi Traustason and Arnor Sigurdsson recover from the injuries that forced them off against Israel. There are also doubts over the fitness of Johann Berg Gudmundsson.
There has never been much to choose between these nations when they have met in the past and we expect more of the same on Tuesday night.
This is a match that could see few goals and with the tension growing, we could easily end the 90 minutes at 0-0, meaning extra time and the possibility of penalties.
Home team
Away team
Pred
Correct score
Avg. goals
Weather conditions
Coef.
Score
Live
coef.
EuQ
314722
X
0 - 0
2.27
7°
4.20
1.45
4.20
8.00
no
no
no
2 - 1(0 - 1)
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