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Can Napoli Extend Serie A Unbeaten Streak at Expense of Torino?

Napoli vs Torino - 08/03/2024

08/03/24
Can Napoli Extend Serie A Unbeaten Streak at Expense of Torino?
Antonio Balasco / Shutterstock.com
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Forebet’s football predictions continue to serve up key stats and trends by diving into the mathematics behind the beautiful game.

On Friday, we turn our attention to an intriguing Serie A clash between upwardly-mobile Napoli and off-form Torino at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona.

Can the hosts extend their unbeaten streak to five matches? Or will the visitors end their three-game winless run? Read on to find out what Forebet’s AI algorithm predicts.

Napoli secured two impressive victories last week, thrashing Sassuolo 6-1 on Wednesday before defeating Juventus 2-1 on Sunday.

Those wins followed back-to-back 1-1 draws with Genoa and Cagliari, lifting the reigning champions to seventh in the Serie A table – eight points shy of the top four.

Not only have Napoli avoided defeat in each of their last four league games, but they have also avoided defeat in seven of their previous eight, picking up four wins and three draws in that time.

Better still, the defending champions are currently enjoying a six-game unbeaten run on home soil, having claimed three wins and three draws since their last loss.

However, Napoli remains 7th in Serie A, which is not good for a team that won the league last season. Are Napoli the worst title defenders of the century?

As for Torino, they played out a goalless stalemate with Fiorentina last weekend, leaving them 10th in the standings – six points behind Napoli.

The Turin outfit have now failed to win any of their last three matches, with successive defeats against Lazio and Roma preceding Saturday’s draw.

When you look at the bigger picture, Torino have managed to win just one of their previous six Serie A encounters, recording three draws and two losses in the process.

Worse still, Torino have picked up a solitary victory in their last eight away league outings, taking seven points from a possible 24 during that period.

Head-to-head: Torino won the reverse fixture 3-0 back in January, with Napoli’s Pasquale Mazzocchi receiving a red card in the 50th minute of the match.

It is worth remembering, however, that Torino have won just one of their last 17 Serie A meetings with Napoli, losing five of the previous six.

Team news: The hosts look set to be without the injured midfield duo of Cyril Ngonge (muscle) and Jens Cajuste (muscle) for the foreseeable future.

The visitors have several injury absentees of their own, with Matteo Lovato, Perr Schuurs, Adrien Tameze and Mergim Vojvoda all expected to miss Friday’s clash.

Given that Napoli and Torino’s previous three meetings have produced 11 goals (3.7 goals per game), we should see another high-scoring affair this time around.

Forebet predicts that Napoli and Torino will combine for over 3.5 goals on Friday, with the teams likely to share the points.

Home team
Away team
Probability %
1X2
Pred
Correct score
Avg. goals
Weather conditions
Coef.
Score
Live
coef.
It1
394219
X
2 - 2
2.95
14°
3.40
1.91 3.40 4.20 no no no
FT
1 - 1(0 - 0)
-
- - -
Serie A Regular Season
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Inter 92 36 29 5 2 67
2
Milan 74 36 22 8 6 29
3
Bologna 67 36 18 13 5 24
4
Juventus 66 35 18 12 5 21
5
Atalanta 60 34 18 6 10 25
6
Roma 60 35 17 9 9 20
7
Lazio 59 36 18 5 13 10
8
Napoli 51 36 13 12 11 7
9
Fiorentina 50 34 14 8 12 12
10
Torino 47 35 11 14 10 0
11
Monza 45 35 11 12 12 -8
12
Genoa 43 35 10 13 12 -2
13
Lecce 37 35 8 13 14 -18
14
Hellas Verona 34 35 8 10 17 -13
15
Cagliari 33 36 7 12 17 -27
16
Frosinone 32 36 7 11 18 -25
17
Empoli 32 36 8 8 20 -26
18
Udinese 30 35 4 18 13 -19
19
Sassuolo 29 35 7 8 20 -29
20
Salernitana 15 35 2 9 24 -48

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