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Free-scoring Arsenal aiming for another goal-fest versus Burnley in the PL

Burnley vs Arsenal - 17/02/2024

Free-scoring Arsenal aiming for another goal-fest versus Burnley in the PL
2075

Arsenal have been on fire in front of goal, scoring 16 goals in their last four Premier League matches. Will our AI score prediction favour Arsenal, as they make their way to Turf Moor on Saturday to play Burnley?

Burnley will start the weekend in 19th place, stuck on 13 points. Seven points separate the Clarets from safety and the gap is growing nearly every week.

Vincent Kompany’s team went to Anfield a week ago and despite a valiant effort, came away with a 3-1 defeat. The Clarets took a mere two points from their last six Premier League games.

Arsenal, on the other hand, are flying. The Gunners won each of their last four games and averaged 4.0 goals per match. A week ago, Arsenal went to West Ham and won 6-0.

Two points separate Arsenal from league leaders Liverpool. The Reds will play the early kick off on Saturday at Brentford.

Liverpool have struggled in previous visits to Brentford, meaning anything less than a win will give Arsenal the chance to go level on points or into first place.

Arsenal defeated Burnley 3-1 earlier this season at the Emirates. Bukayo Saka set up Leandro Trossard for the opening goal, but Burnley equalised after halftime through Josh Brownhill.

The Gunners went back in front for good on 57 minutes thanks to William Saliba. Oleksandr Zinchenko settled the game on 74 minutes with a goal to make it 3-1.

Burnley are the league’s worst home team in terms of points. Kompany’s men took five points from their 12 home fixtures, scoring 13 goals and conceding 27 times. The Clarets conceded the second-most goals after 24 league matches, with 50.

Meanwhile, Burnley scored the second-fewest goals in the Premier League. They have tallied just 25 goals in 24 games. Kompany’s determination to play football and not park the bus has led to many poor results.

Arsenal are the third-best scoring team in the league behind Manchester City and Liverpool Mikel Arteta’s side tallied 53 goals. Defensively, Arsenal are the league’s best team, with only 22 goals conceded.

Saka leads the Gunners in goal scoring stats, with 10 goals. Five of those goals have come on the road. Arsenal are third in the division in shots per game, with 16.9.

Will the Gunners enjoy another explosion of goals? Our algorithm predicts an Arsenal 3-1 win over Burnley at Turf Moor, as they potentially move into first place.

Home team
Away team
Probability %
1X2
Pred
Correct score
Avg. goals
Weather conditions
Coef.
Score
Live
coef.
EPL
121474
2
1 - 3
3.04
12°
1.33
8.00 5.25 1.33 no no no
FT
0 - 5(0 - 2)
-
- - -
Premier League
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Arsenal 83 36 26 5 5 60
2
Manchester City 82 35 25 7 3 54
3
Liverpool 78 36 23 9 4 43
4
Aston Villa 67 36 20 7 9 20
5
Tottenham 60 35 18 6 11 11
6
Newcastle United 56 35 17 5 13 22
7
Chelsea 54 35 15 9 11 11
8
Manchester United 54 35 16 6 13 -3
9
West Ham 49 36 13 10 13 -14
10
Bournemouth 48 36 13 9 14 -11
11
Brighton 47 35 12 11 12 -4
12
Wolverhampton 46 36 13 7 16 -11
13
Fulham 44 36 12 8 16 -4
14
Crystal Palace 43 36 11 10 15 -8
15
Everton 37 36 12 9 15 -11
16
Brentford 36 36 9 9 18 -8
17
Nottingham Forest 29 36 8 9 19 -18
18
Luton Town 26 36 6 8 22 -29
19
Burnley 24 36 5 9 22 -35
20
Sheffield United 16 36 3 7 26 -65

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