Trends Point Towards Goals in All-Premier League FA Cup Fourth Round Replay
Aston Villa vs Chelsea - 07/02/2024
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On Wednesday evening, Aston Villa welcome Chelsea to Villa Park as both sides aim to book their place in the fifth round of the FA Cup.
The top-flight rivals played out a goalless draw in the first meeting last month, forcing a replay to determine which club will progress.
Forebet has trawled the stats and trends ahead of Wednesday’s replay, so keep reading to find out what our AI predictive analytics model expects.
Aston Villa head into Wednesday’s replay on the back of a dominant 5-0 victory over Sheffield United, who conceded four goals inside the opening 30 minutes at Bramall Lane.
The Villains have now lost one of their last six matches across all competitions, with only two defeats coming in their previous 17 encounters.
It is also worth noting that Unai Emery’s side have been strong defensively of late, keeping four clean sheets in their last five matches.
Better still, trends show that Villa have also yet to concede a goal in this season’s FA Cup, meaning they will be confident of heaping more misery on struggling Chelsea.
As for the Blues, they suffered a disappointing 4-2 defeat against Wolverhampton Wanderers on Sunday, with Matheus Cunha netting a hat-trick and Stamford Bridge.
Mauricio Pochettino’s men have now lost three of their last six matches across all competitions, conceding 10 goals in the process.
In truth, Chelsea have been wildly inconsistent throughout the campaign, recording 15 wins, five draws and 11 defeats to highlight the club’s questionable transfer policy.
Like Aston Villa, though, Chelsea boast an impressive record in the FA Cup, having scored four goals and kept two clean sheets so far.
Head-to-head: Not only have Aston Villa avoided defeat to Chelsea in each of their last three meetings, but they have also kept three clean sheets for good measure.
That said, the wider H2H statistics favour the Blues, who have lost only three of their previous 15 matches against the Villains across all competitions.
Team news: Aston Villa’s injury list contains Emi Buendia, Tyrone Mings and Jhon Duran, while Lucas Digne, Pau Torres and Nicolo Zaniolo are doubts.
Chelsea, on the other hand, will be without Wesley Fofana, Reece James, Marc Cucurella, Romeo Lavia, Robert Sanchez and Lesly Ugochukwu due to injury.
Although the previous meeting ended in a goalless draw, the Villa Park faithful will likely be treated to a more entertaining spectacle this time around.
Forebet’s algorithm predicts that Aston Villa and Chelsea will combine for over 2.5 goals, with the host outscoring the visitors.
Home team
Away team
Pred
Correct score
Avg. goals
Weather conditions
Coef.
Score
Live
coef.
FA
363133
1
2 - 1
2.94
4°
2.20
2.20
3.60
3.10
no
no
no
1 - 3(0 - 2)
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