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Probability High of a Low Scoring Encounter Between Morocco and South Africa

Morocco vs South Africa - 30/01/2024

Probability High of a Low Scoring Encounter Between Morocco and South Africa
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The Africa Cup of Nations is well into the knockout stages and analysis points to a tight match in the final round of 16 game.

The game between Morocco and South Africa will take place on the 30th of January at the Laurent Pokou Stadium, San Pédro. Morocco finished top of Group F while South Africa came second in Group E.

Morocco come into the game on the back of a narrow 1-0 win over Zambia in their final group match at the Africa Cup of Nations.

Morocco scored the only goal of the game 8 minutes before the interval and kept out their opponents in the second half to seal the victory and win the group.

Prior to the win over Zambia, Morocco beat Tanzania 3-0 in their opening 2023 Africa Cup of Nations fixture and followed that with a 1-1 draw with Democratic Republic of Congo.

Those results mean Morocco are undefeated in their 8 most recent fixtures in all competitions, including friendlies.

Stats show Morocco have not been beaten in 47 of their 53 most recent matches in all competitions.

The Atlas Lions are undefeated in 7 of their last 8 Africa Cup of Nations matches and you must go back to the game against Egypt in the 2017 quarterfinals to find the last time they lost inside 90 minutes in the tournament.

Morocco conceded just a single goal in their 3 Africa Cup of Nations group games.

South Africa arrive at the Laurent Pokou Stadium having held Tunisia to a 0-0 draw, which was enough to see them finish second in Group E. It was an even contest, with both teams hitting the target only twice during the 90 minutes.

The draw with Tunisia came on the back of an excellent 4-0 win over Namibia. South Africa raced into a 3-0 lead at half time, with the goals coming in the 14th, 25th, and 40th minutes. South Africa added their fourth goal in the 75th minute.

It was an important victory for South Africa, coming on the back of a 2-0 loss against Mali in their opening group fixture.

Trends show South Africa have won only 3 of their last 13 Africa Cup of Nations matches. They have failed to score a goal in 4 of their 6 most recent games in the competition.

Team news: Morocco coach Walid Regragui has had his suspension lifted so will be in the dugout for his team. Naif Aguerd and Younis Abdelhamid will continue in the centre of defence, with Sofyan Amrabat providing protection in midfield.

Bafana Bafana could be without defender Khuliso Mudau, who was injured in the game against Tunisia. Nyiko Mobbie is most likely to be his replacement in the team at right-back.

The stats suggest we are going to see a low scoring game. In fact, we may see just a single goal in this match, with Morocco being the team to make the breakthrough and progress to the quarterfinals.

Home team
Away team
Probability %
1X2
Pred
Correct score
Avg. goals
Weather conditions
Coef.
Score
Live
coef.
Acn
543016
1
1 - 0
2.01
30°
1.62
1.62 3.60 6.00 no no no
FT
0 - 2(0 - 0)
-
- - -
Africa Cup of Nations Group A
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Equatorial Guinea 7 3 2 1 0 6
2
Nigeria 7 3 2 1 0 2
3
Ivory Coast 3 3 1 0 2 -3
4
Guinea-Bissau 0 3 0 0 3 -5
Africa Cup of Nations Group B
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Cape Verde 7 3 2 1 0 4
2
Egypt 3 3 0 3 0 0
3
Ghana 2 3 0 2 1 -1
4
Mozambique 2 3 0 2 1 -3
Africa Cup of Nations Group C
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Senegal 9 3 3 0 0 7
2
Cameroon 4 3 1 1 1 -1
3
Guinea 4 3 1 1 1 -1
4
Gambia 0 3 0 0 3 -5
Africa Cup of Nations Group D
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Angola 7 3 2 1 0 3
2
Burkina Faso 4 3 1 1 1 -1
3
Mauritania 3 3 1 0 2 -1
4
Algeria 2 3 0 2 1 -1
Africa Cup of Nations Group E
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Mali 5 3 1 2 0 2
2
South Africa 4 3 1 1 1 2
3
Namibia 4 3 1 1 1 -3
4
Tunisia 2 3 0 2 1 -1
Africa Cup of Nations Group F
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Morocco 7 3 2 1 0 4
2
DR Congo 3 3 0 3 0 0
3
Zambia 2 3 0 2 1 -1
4
Tanzania 2 3 0 2 1 -3

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