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Nations League semi-final between Spain and Italy expected to go the distance

Spain vs Italy - 15/06/2023

Nations League semi-final between Spain and Italy expected to go the distance
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Spain and Italy clash at FC Twente’s Grolsch Fortress on Thursday evening with a place in the UEFA Nations League final up for grabs.

The two sides last met in the 2020-21 Nations League semi-finals, with Spain claiming a 2-1 victory over Italy on that occasion.

The Spaniards went on to finish as runners-up after losing to France in the final, while the Italians finished third following a win over Belgium.

Spain experienced a disappointing World Cup campaign in Qatar, recording one win, one draw and one loss during the group stage before falling to Morocco in the last 16.

Since then, La Roja have registered a 3-0 victory over Norway and a 2-0 defeat to Scotland, starting their Euro qualifying campaign in indifferent form.

Spain have lost just one of their six Nations League matches this season, taking 11 points from a possible 18 to finish atop Group A2.

Having recorded six wins, two draws and three losses across the past 12 months, the Spaniards will be hopeful of notching a positive result on Thursday.

On the flip side, Italy suffered a 2-1 defeat to England in their first Euro qualifier before defeating Malta 2-0 to cap off March’s international break.

Let's not forget that Italy failed to qualify for the 2022 World Cup, so they will be desperate to make amends for recent failures.

It would not be unfair to say that Italy have endured an inconsistent 12 months, recording four wins and three losses across all competitions.

That said, Italy made light work of their Nations League group opponents, losing just one of their six group games to finish above England, Germany and Hungary.

Head-to-head: The overall H2H record between these two nations stands at 13 Spain wins, 10 Italy wins and 12 draws, with the first meetings coming all the way back in 1924.

The recent H2H record is also notably even, with both sides winning two and drawing two of the previous six encounters.

Team news: Spain’s squad contains Manchester City’s Champions League winners Rodri and Aymeric Laporte, along with three Real Madrid players, three Barcelona players and three Real Sociedad players.

As for Italy, 36-year-old Leonardo Bonucci will captain the team. At the opposite end of the spectrum, 19-year-old Wilfried Gnonto could earn his 11th cap.

Given the competitive nature of the head-to-head record between Spain and Italy, Thursday’s clash will likely be a close-fought battle.

Forebet predicts that Spain and Italy will serve up a goalless draw inside 90 minutes, with the semi-final expected to go the distance.

Home team
Away team
Probability %
1X2
Pred
Correct score
Avg. goals
Weather conditions
Coef.
Score
Live
coef.
UNL
314623
X
0 - 0
2.39
29°
3.20
2.25 3.20 3.40 no no no
FT
2 - 1(1 - 1)
-
- - -

UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations League League A Group 1
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Croatia 13 6 4 1 1 2
2
Denmark 12 6 4 0 2 4
3
France 5 6 1 2 3 -2
4
Austria 4 6 1 1 4 -4
UEFA Nations League League A Group 2
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Spain 11 6 3 2 1 3
2
Portugal 10 6 3 1 2 8
3
Switzerland 9 6 3 0 3 -3
4
Czech Republic 4 6 1 1 4 -8
UEFA Nations League League A Group 3
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Italy 11 6 3 2 1 1
2
Hungary 10 6 3 1 2 3
3
Germany 7 6 1 4 1 2
4
England 3 6 0 3 3 -6
UEFA Nations League League A Group 4
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Netherlands 16 6 5 1 0 8
2
Belgium 10 6 3 1 2 3
3
Poland 7 6 2 1 3 -6
4
Wales 1 6 0 1 5 -5
UEFA Nations League League B Group 1
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Scotland 13 6 4 1 1 6
2
Ukraine 11 6 3 2 1 6
3
Ireland 7 6 2 1 3 1
4
Armenia 3 6 1 0 5 -13
UEFA Nations League League B Group 2
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Israel 8 4 2 2 0 2
2
Iceland 4 4 0 4 0 0
3
Albania 2 4 0 2 2 -2
4
Russia 0 0 0 0 0 0
UEFA Nations League League B Group 3
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Bosnia-Herzegovina 11 6 3 2 1 0
2
Finland 8 6 2 2 2 2
3
Montenegro 7 6 2 1 3 0
4
Romania 7 6 2 1 3 -2
UEFA Nations League League B Group 4
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Serbia 13 6 4 1 1 8
2
Norway 10 6 3 1 2 0
3
Slovenia 6 6 1 3 2 -4
4
Sweden 4 6 1 1 4 -4
UEFA Nations League League C Group 1
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Türkiye 13 6 4 1 1 13
2
Luxembourg 11 6 3 2 1 2
3
Faroe Islands 8 6 2 2 2 -3
4
Lithuania 1 6 0 1 5 -12
UEFA Nations League League C Group 2
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Greece 15 6 5 0 1 8
2
Kosovo 9 6 3 0 3 3
3
N. Ireland 5 6 1 2 3 -3
4
Cyprus 5 6 1 2 3 -8
UEFA Nations League League C Group 3
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Kazakhstan 13 6 4 1 1 2
2
Azerbaijan 10 6 3 1 2 3
3
Slovakia 7 6 2 1 3 -1
4
Belarus 3 6 0 3 3 -4
UEFA Nations League League C Group 4
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Georgia 16 6 5 1 0 13
2
Bulgaria 9 6 2 3 1 2
3
North Macedonia 7 6 2 1 3 0
4
Gibraltar 1 6 0 1 5 -15
UEFA Nations League League D Group 1
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Latvia 13 6 4 1 1 7
2
Moldova 13 6 4 1 1 4
3
Andorra 8 6 2 2 2 -1
4
Liechtenstein 0 6 0 0 6 -10
UEFA Nations League League D Group 2
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Estonia 12 4 4 0 0 8
2
Malta 6 4 2 0 2 1
3
San Marino 0 4 0 0 4 -9

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