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Before the Round – Trends on the Bundesliga (27/04-28/04)

Before the Round – Trends on the Bundesliga (27/04-28/04)
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Despite Bayer Leverkusen wrapping up the Bundesliga title for the first time in their history, there is still plenty to play for this season.

Four rounds remain in the campaign, as the race for the top five continues to go on. At the other end of the table, Mainz are aiming for a great escape.

Augsburg - Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen posted a 2-0 home win over Augsburg earlier this season. It was just their second win in six attempts against Saturday’s opponent.

Augsburg will start the round in eighth place, with six points separating them from the top six. European qualification could still be on the cards for the club. However, Augsburg lost two of their last three games. All three games saw over 1.5 goals.

Bremen are fresh off a surprise 2-1 win at home against Stuttgart. The victory ended a five-match winless streak. Only seven points separate Werder Bremen from the relegation-playoff place.

  • Augsburg have outplayed Werder Bremen in their last 3 home matches (all competitions).
  • Werder Bremen are in an unfortunate period, having won just 4 of their last 24 away matches in all competitions.
  • Augsburg have succeeded in scoring 1+ goals against Werder Bremen in 11 straight home games in all competitions.
  • The team of Werder Bremen have conceded an average of 1.88 goals in their away matches in all competitions.
  • Prediction: Augsburg

 

 

Freiburg - Wolfsburg

Freiburg went to Wolfsburg earlier this season and left with a 1-0 win. It was the first time a team went away in head-to-head matches between these clubs and claimed a win in five tries. Freiburg claimed four wins from the last six encounters with Wolfsburg.

Wolfsburg are coming off a 1-0 win over Bochum in a relegation six-pointer. The Wolves claimed two wins from the last four matches, improving their chances of staying up this season. Still, just four points separate them from the bottom three.

Freiburg took four points from their last two matches in the league. They are five points off the top six and a possible European place. Defence has been Freiburg’s issue this season, as they have conceded 53 times.

  • In Freiburg's most recent 7 home Bundesliga matches, both teams scored.
  • Wolfsburg have managed just 4 wins in their last 24 league games.
  • Freiburg are unbeaten in 9 of their last 11 games against Wolfsburg in all competitions.
  • Wolfsburg are conceding an average of 1.87 goals in away Bundesliga matches.
  • Prediction: Freiburg

 

 

Mainz - Koln

The last two Bundesliga encounters between Mainz and Koln ended in draws. The reverse fixture saw neither team score a goal, as the match ended nil-nil.

Mainz are on the up and out of the relegation zone thanks to goal difference. They took 11 points from the last five games, keeping three clean sheets. Mainz scored 10 goals in their last three home matches.

Koln are 17th and nearly cut adrift in the relegation race. The Billy Goats’ best chance may be to finish 16th in the relegation place and play in the playoffs. Koln lost their last two matches in the Bundesliga.

  • Mainz are undefeated at HT in all their 13 most recent home encounters with Köln in all competitions.
  • Köln are on a run of 9 consecutive away half time draws in all competitions.
  • Mainz have won only 5 of their last 35 Bundesliga matches.
  • In their last 34 games in all competitions, Köln have a poor record of just 4 wins.
  • Prediction: Under 2.5 goals

 

 

Darmstadt - Heidenheim

Heidenheim are unbeaten in their last three matches versus Darmstadt. The last two fixtures between them ended in Heidenheim wins. The Reds won 3-2 earlier this season at home.

Darmstadt are the league’s last-placed team. They are 10 points adrift of safety and can be officially relegated this weekend with a defeat. Darmstadt did win last weekend, defeating Koln 2-0 in a relegation six-pointer.

Heidenheim are coming off a 2-1 loss to RB Leipzig. It ended a four-match unbeaten run. The Reds are 10th in the league and gearing up for another Bundesliga campaign. However, they are not mathematically safe from relegation yet.

  • Darmstadt's latest record consists of 5 straight home losses in all competitions.
  • In their last 16 away games in all competitions, Heidenheim have a poor record of just 2 wins.
  • Darmstadt have won only 1 of their last 20 all competitions matches.
  • Heidenheim haven't lost a match in 7 of their last 8 away matches in Bundesliga.
  • Prediction: Over 2.5 goals

 

 

Home team
Away team
Probability %
1X2
Pred
Correct score
Avg. goals
Weather conditions
Coef.
Score
Live
coef.
De1
443224
1
2 - 1
2.94
17°
1.75
1.75 4.00 4.33 no no no
FT
0 - 3(0 - 0)
-
- - -
Bundesliga Regular Season
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Bayer Leverkusen 81 31 25 6 0 55
2
Bayern München 69 32 22 3 7 49
3
Stuttgart 67 32 21 4 7 34
4
RB Leipzig 63 32 19 6 7 38
5
Borussia Dortmund 60 32 17 9 6 24
6
Eintracht Frankfurt 45 31 11 12 8 5
7
Freiburg 41 32 11 8 13 -12
8
Hoffenheim 40 32 11 7 14 -8
9
Augsburg 39 32 10 9 13 -8
10
Werder Bremen 38 32 10 8 14 -9
11
Heidenheim 37 31 9 10 12 -8
12
Wolfsburg 37 32 10 7 15 -11
13
Borussia M'gladbach 33 32 7 12 13 -7
14
Bochum 33 32 7 12 13 -24
15
Union Berlin 30 32 8 6 18 -25
16
Mainz 28 31 5 13 13 -17
17
Köln 24 32 4 12 16 -30
18
Darmstadt 17 32 3 8 21 -46

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