Draw on the Cards? Estudiantes La Plata Host an Unbeaten River Plate in Liga Profesional Action

Эстудиантес - Ривер Плейт - 09/14/2025

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The Estadio Ciudad de La Plata prepares to host Estudiantes as they welcome a River Plate side carrying one of the most robust unbeaten streaks in Argentine football. With a closely matched set of recent results and both sides boasting proud defensive records, this fixture could prove decisive for ambitions in the second phase of Liga Profesional Group A.

Previous Encounter

When these two teams last met on March 1, 2025, Estudiantes La Plata traveled to El Monumental and produced a clinical 2-0 victory over River Plate. Despite River Plate controlling the rhythm with 70% possession and mounting 17 total shots compared to Estudiantes’ 9, play on the field told a different story.

Alexis Castro struck early for Estudiantes, firing them ahead in the 9th minute, while Santiago Ascacibar sealed the result with a stoppage-time goal at 94 minutes. River Plate, despite their immense attacking pressure and 103 dangerous attacks, struggled with efficiency, notching just three shots on target to Estudiantes’ four. The result underlined Estudiantes’ ability to withstand relentless possession and capitalize on key moments.

Recent Form

Estudiantes have posted a mixed run, with three wins, a draw, and two losses in their last six outings. Their defensive strength is evident, having conceded an average of one goal per game during this stretch. At home, Estudiantes have been tough to break down, remaining undefeated and conceding only 0.33 goals per match in their last three on their turf.

River Plate’s consistency is notable. They are undefeated in their last six matches, drawing four and winning two. Over this sequence, they scored at a slightly higher rate, averaging 1.33 goals scored but conceding just 0.67. Away from home, draws have been the theme, with three straight stalemates and only a single goal both scored and conceded in that span.

Overall Performance

Estudiantes closed the 1st Phase Group A ranked 8th, with five wins, six draws, and five defeats over 16 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 19. Their goal difference of minus one signals a need for a more clinical edge and continued defensive concentration.

River Plate concluded the first phase sitting 2nd in Group B, with a formidable +12 goal difference. They have won eight, drawn seven, and lost just once, finding the back of the net 21 times while allowing a league-best nine goals against. River’s defensive organization and reliability have anchored their success.

Main Trends

Estudiantes have collected six wins from their last 12, while carrying an 83% unbeaten rate at home across their last 12 matches in all competitions. In league play specifically, six wins from 15 at home and another impressive 83% home unbeaten record underscore their form at La Plata.

River Plate bring a powerhouse streak: undefeated in 29 of their last 30 away matches in all competitions, and a 100% unbeaten league run across the last 12 matches. Their away resilience is underlined by 87% unbeaten in their last 30 away fixtures and a notable 50% draw rate in their last 16 home and away league matches.

Probable Lineups

Both squads are hampered by notable absences. Estudiantes will be without Gabriel Neves, Joaquin Tobio Burgos, Ezequiel Piovi, and Eric Meza due to long-term injuries. River Plate face a lengthy injury list of their own, missing Maximiliano Salas, Germán Pezzella, Sebastián Driussi, Lucas Martínez Quarta, Juan Carlos Portillo, Paulo Díaz, and Maximiliano Meza.

For Estudiantes, coach Eduardo Domínguez is likely to stick with a back four and a more conservative 4-1-4-1, trusting those who featured most recently:

• G: Fernando Muslera
• D: Román Gómez, Leandro González Pírez, Facundo Rodríguez, Santiago Arzamendia
• M: Mikel Amondarain, Santiago Ascacíbar, Cristian Medina, Alexis Castro, Edwuin Cetré
• A: Guido Carrillo

Marcelo Gallardo, considering River’s injury constraints, is expected to continue with a 4-1-3-2 formation, focused on defensive strength and ball retention:

• G: Franco Armani
• D: Fabricio Bustos, Sebastián Boselli, Lautaro Rivero, Milton Casco
• M: Kevin Castaño, Giuliano Galoppo, Juan Fernando Quintero, Nacho Fernández
• A: Miguel Borja, Facundo Colidio

Prediction

With River Plate undefeated in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions and Estudiantes boasting a strong home record, a tightly contested match seems likely. The most probable outcome is a draw, with a 39% chance assigned. A low-scoring affair is anticipated, with under 2.5 goals probable and 1-1 suggested as the most likely scoreline. Both sides’ defensive discipline and recent history support this cautious outlook.

Хозяева - Гости

Вероятность в %

1X2

Прог

Прогнозы рез.

Кол-во голов

Погода

Коэф.

Результат

Онл.
коэф.

Ar1

ЭстудиантесРивер Плейт 14/09/2025 00:00

253936

X1-1

1 - 1

2.09

58°F

+220

+180 +220 +155 no no no

FT

1 - 2(0 - 2)

-

- - -