Madrid Derby Takes Centre Stage in Spain: What Does Forebet’s AI Algorithm Predict?

Атлетико Мадрид - Реал Мадрид - 09/29/2024

Marta Fernandez Jimenez / Shutterstock.com

DATE_FORMAT_LC5 9004

Two points separate third-placed Atletico Madrid and second-placed Real Madrid ahead of their showdown at the Civitas Metropolitano on Sunday evening.

Both sides remain unbeaten in La Liga this season, although Barcelona lead the way ahead of Matchday 8, having won all seven of their games in 2024-25.

In this preview, Forebet covers all the key stats and trends, sharing expert analysis along the way. Read on to discover what our predictive analytics model forecasts.

Let’s start by looking at the hosts, Atletico Madrid, who claimed a last-gasp 1-0 victory over Celta Vigo on Thursday.

After starting on the bench, Julian Alavarez entered the field in the second half before scoring a 90th-minute winner to hand his side all three points.

Atletico have now won three of their last four La Liga matches, meaning they possess a record of four wins and three draws this season.

It is also worth noting that Diego Simeone’s side boast the best defensive record in the division, having conceded just three goals in seven games.

As for Real Madrid, they claimed a 3-2 victory over Deportivo Alaves in midweek, surviving a late scare to maintain their unbeaten record in 2024-25.

Los Blancos found themselves 3-0 up inside 50 minutes but failed to extend their advantage, with Alaves scoring on 85 and 86 minutes to set up a nervy finish.

Carlo Ancelotti’s men have now won each of their last four La Liga matches, scoring 11 goals in the process (2.8 goals per game).

When you look at the bigger picture, Real Madrid have won six of their previous seven matches across all competitions, scoring over 2.5 goals on four occasions.

Head-to-head: Atletico Madrid have avoided defeat in each of their last three La Liga meetings with Real Madrid, recording two 1-1 draws in that time.

That said, Simeone’s side have only claimed two league victories over Los Blancos since 2016, so securing all three points won’t be easy this weekend.

Team news: Atletico Madrid are still without long-term absentee Thomas Lemar, while Cesar Azpilicueta and Pablo Barrios are also injured.

Real Madrid are without star forward Kylian Mbappe, who picked up a hamstring injury last time out, with David Alaba and Dani Carvajal also sidelined.

Given that Atletico and Real Madrid have drawn five of their last six meetings across all competitions, Sunday’s showdown looks destined to be a tight game.

Forebet predicts that both teams will find the back of the net, with Real Madrid outscoring their arch-rivals this time around.

Хозяева - Гости

Вероятность в %

1X2

Прог

Прогнозы рез.

Кол-во голов

Погода

Коэф.

Результат

Онл.
коэф.

Es1

Атлетико МадридРеал Мадрид 29/09/2024 21:00

213742

21-2

1 - 2

2.82

23°

+150

+180 +230 +150 no no no

FT

1 - 1(0 - 0)

-

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