Udinese desperate for a win over Napoli to avoid relegation
Udinese vs Napoli - 06/05/2024
Fabrizio Andrea Bertani / Shutterstock.com
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Udinese failed to win any of their last six matches against Napoli in all competitions. The Zebrette are 18th in the league and desperately trying to avoid relegation. Will our algorithm forecast an Udinese shock win over Napoli in Udine?
Napoli cruised to a 4-1 win over Udinese earlier this season. It was one of the few matches in which Napoli dominated this season.
Piotr Zielinksi, Victor Osimhen, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, and Giovanni Simeone all found the back of the net for Napoli.
Two points separate Udinese from safety. A win could see the Zebrette move out of the bottom three, but they would need results to go their way elsewhere. Udinese failed to win their last six matches in the league.
Udinese took just two points from the last 18 points on offer. They were outscored 9-4 across the last six matches.
The attack struggled during that time. Udinese have scored the third-fewest number of goals in Serie A this term (32).
While the attack has struggled to score, Udinese’s defence has conceded goal after goal. The Zebrette’s 51 goals allowed is the league’s fifth most.
Napoli picked up six points from the last 18 points on offer. However, only one of those six matches was a victory. Indeed, Napoli struggled to pick up wins and each of their last three fixtures ended without a victory.
Udinese are Serie A’s second-worst home team. They took 12 points from 17 games. Each of Udinese’s last three home matches were victories.
Napoli have not put a title challenge this season. Still, they are Serie A’s fourth-best away team. Twenty-six of Napoli’s 50 points have come on the road. The Partenopei scored 28 away goals and conceded 18 in 17 matches.
Osimhen leads Napoli with 14 Serie A goals. Injuries have limited Osimhen to just 22 appearances this season. Kvaratskhelia has 10 goals and six assists. His impact hasn’t been as strong this term, as it was in the past.
Napoli lead Serie A in shots per game with 17.1. They also top Serie A in terms of possession with 59%.
Lorenzo Lucca leads Udinese in scoring with seven goals. Florian Thauvin has added five goals to the Udinese cause. Both players have been a highlight in a poor season in front of goal.
Can Udinese pick up a win over Napoli and rescue their season? It is doubtful, because our algorithm predicts a 3-1 win for Napoli on the road against the Zebrette.
Home team
Away team
Pred
Correct score
Avg. goals
Weather conditions
Coef.
Score
Live
coef.
It1
203842
2
1 - 3
3.14
16°
1.91
4.00
3.40
1.91
no
no
no
1 - 1(0 - 0)
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