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Can Paris Saint-Germain take a first-leg advantage against Borussia Dortmund in their UCL first leg semi-final?

Borussia Dortmund vs PSG - 01/05/2024

Can Paris Saint-Germain take a first-leg advantage against Borussia Dortmund in their UCL first leg semi-final?
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Paris Saint-Germain have dreamt of winning the Champions League since the arrival of QSI. Now, the Parisians are just two matches away from potentially playing for the Champions League trophy.

Will our algorithm predict a Paris Saint-Germain win in the first leg?

Borussia Dortmund will host PSG at Signal Iduna Park in the first leg. This will be the third meeting between these clubs in the Champions League this term.

Dortmund and Paris played in the Champions League group stage, with the latter taking four points from six in the division.

The match in France saw PSG win 2-0 and the follow up finished 1-1 at Signal Iduna Park.

This will be the clubs’ seventh meeting in all competitions since 2010. PSG slightly edged Dortmund in those head-to-head fixtures with a record of 2W-3D-1L.

The pressure will be on Dortmund to get a result at home to take to Paris for the second leg.

Dortmund are not in form ahead of the first leg at home. They failed to win their last two Bundesliga games.

A 1-1 draw with Bayer Leverkusen, in which they conceded a second-half stoppage-time goal, was followed by a 4-1 loss to RB Leipzig at the weekend.

PSG drew 3-3 with Le Havre at the weekend. The Parisians came from 2-1 down at halftime to draw at home with the relegation-battlers. The draw ended a three-match winning streak for PSG in all competitions.

Kylian Mbappe has scored 43 goals this season in all competitions. The striker is also the goal scoring stats leader in the Champions League.

He has eight goals in the competition, which is one more than Bayern Munich’s Harry Kane.

Dortmund’s Niclas Fullkrug leads the team in goals with 14 in all competitions. Meanwhile, Donyell Malen has 13 goals.

Mbappe scored in the first meeting this season between the clubs, while Karim Adeyemi scored Dortmund’s only goal in the two fixtures.

Although PSG are in better form, they did not top Group F. Rather, Dortmund topped the group stage with 11 points.

Paris Saint-Germain finished the group with eight points, level with third-place AC Milan. Paris only went through thanks to goal difference.

The group stage match between these clubs at Signal Iduna Park ended in a draw. With the Yellow Wall behind them, Borussia Dortmund should snatch a draw once more.

Our score prediction is for a 2-2 stalemate in Germany, with everything to play for in leg No. 2.

Home team
Away team
Probability %
1X2
Pred
Correct score
Avg. goals
Weather conditions
Coef.
Score
Live
coef.
UCL
274132
X
2 - 2
2.53
23°
3.60
2.75 3.60 2.45 no no no
FT
1 - 0(1 - 0)
-
- - -
Champions League Group A
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Bayern München 16 6 5 1 0 6
2
FC København 8 6 2 2 2 0
3
Galatasaray SK 5 6 1 2 3 -3
4
Manchester United 4 6 1 1 4 -3
Champions League Group B
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Arsenal 13 6 4 1 1 12
2
PSV Eindhoven 9 6 2 3 1 -2
3
Lens 8 6 2 2 2 -5
4
Sevilla 2 6 0 2 4 -5
Champions League Group C
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Real Madrid 18 6 6 0 0 9
2
Napoli 10 6 3 1 2 1
3
Sporting Braga 4 6 1 1 4 -6
4
Union Berlin 2 6 0 2 4 -4
Champions League Group D
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Real Sociedad 12 6 3 3 0 5
2
Inter 12 6 3 3 0 3
3
SL Benfica 4 6 1 1 4 -4
4
RB Salzburg 4 6 1 1 4 -4
Champions League Group E
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Atlético Madrid 14 6 4 2 0 11
2
Lazio 10 6 3 1 2 0
3
Feyenoord 6 6 2 0 4 -1
4
Celtic 4 6 1 1 4 -10
Champions League Group F
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Borussia Dortmund 11 6 3 2 1 3
2
PSG 8 6 2 2 2 1
3
Milan 8 6 2 2 2 -3
4
Newcastle United 5 6 1 2 3 -1
Champions League Group G
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Manchester City 18 6 6 0 0 11
2
RB Leipzig 12 6 4 0 2 3
3
BSC Young Boys 4 6 1 1 4 -6
4
FK Crvena Zvezda 1 6 0 1 5 -8
Champions League Group H
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
FC Porto 12 6 4 0 2 7
2
Barcelona 12 6 4 0 2 6
3
Shakhtar Donetsk 9 6 3 0 3 -2
4
Royal Antwerp 3 6 1 0 5 -11

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