Bayern Munich and Atletico Madrid have recent history in the Champions League. The clubs met four times over the course of a two-year period (2015 to 2017) with the home team winning all four of those games.
The Germans head into the fixture in good form winning their last three games in all competitions. Bayern Munich most recently claimed a 4-1 win versus Armenia Bielefeld.
Atletico Madrid also go into the game in good form having posted two wins and two draws in La Liga. Although Diego Simeone’s team won 6-1 on opening day, goals have been hard to come by since then.
Los Colchoneros followed up that win with back to back nil-nil draws. They did claim a 2-0 win versus Celta Vigo away at the weekend. Simeone’s defence first, attack second tactics have waned in their ability to land Atletico trophies and progress them deep into the Champions League tournament.
Atletico Madrid’s inability to score goals and break down teams in the final third should haunt them once more on Wednesday. Their last two trips to the Allianz in the Champions League ended in losses. Atletico Madrid were outscored 3-1 over the course of those two games.
In each of the last four games between Bayern Munich and Atletico Madrid, the home team won the game. In addition, the home team were winning 1-0 at halftime when the sides met.
Bayern Munich coach Hansi Flick is without winger Leroy Sane. His absence will give Kingsley Coman or recent loan signing Douglas Costa the chance to start. Flick has favoured Lucas Hernandez at left-back rather than Alphonso Davies, and the Spaniard should get the start in defence against his former team.
Simeone is without striker Douglas Costa due to a thigh muscle strain. His absence will give Joao Felix and Luis Suarez the chance to start together in attack.
Saul Niguez is a doubt due to a knock. He could be joined on the sidelines by full-back Lodi Renan. Lodi is also suffering from a knock.
The home team have never lost when Bayern Munich and Atletico Madrid played in the Champions League. Three of the four games ended with under 2.5 goals and the home team winning to nil. All four games saw the home team win the first half 1-0.
Can Atletico Madrid overturn the trend of away teams losing in games between the two clubs? Expect Atletico Madrid to come up short and fail to score goals against the reigning Champions League winners. Bayern Munich should win to nil in a low-scoring game at home.
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