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Can struggling Paderborn upset off-form Hoffenheim?

Paderborn vs Hoffenheim Preview 23/05/2020

19 May 2020 | Bundesliga | Preview
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Can struggling Paderborn upset off-form Hoffenheim?

Bottom-of-the-table Paderborn welcome Hoffenheim to the Benteler-Arena on Saturday as the Bundesliga enters its second round of fixtures following the league’s resumption.

Paderborn returned to action with a hard-fought goalless draw against fellow relegation-strugglers Fortuna Dusseldorf last weekend, despite only registering one shot on target.

It’s fair to say that Steffen Baumgart’s side – who enjoyed successive promotions in the past two seasons – have struggled to adapt to the demands of Germany’s top tier.

With just eight games remaining, Paderborn find themselves ten points from certain safety and six points behind Fortuna, who currently occupy the relegation play-off spot.

You won’t be surprised to learn that Paderborn have the second-worst defensive record in the division, although they have scored more goals than the two teams directly above them in the table.

Paderborn have failed to win any of their previous seven league games and have suffered five defeats during that time. However, draws with Schalke and Dusseldorf have kept them afloat – just about!

Meanwhile, Hoffenheim are ninth in the table. Before the break, Die Kraichgauer were without a win in five and extended that run to six games with a crushing defeat against Hertha Berlin last weekend.

Despite racking up 18 shots, Hoffenheim only managed to hit the target five times in their previous game, while their defensive efforts against Hertha left a great deal to be desired.

Alfred Schreuder’s side look destined for a disappointing mid-table finish this term, with European qualification and relegation – barring a monumental slip-up – both out of the picture.

However, on a brighter note for Hoffenheim, Paderborn have failed to beat them in each of their last five meetings. In fact, Hoffenheim have claimed four victories over Paderborn during that period without conceding a single goal.

Top Trends

  • Paderborn have been defeated in their last 4 home matches in all competitions
  • There have been under 2.5 goals in Hoffenheim's last 3 away all competitions games
  • Paderborn haven't scored a goal against Hoffenheim in their 3 most recent clashes in Bundesliga
  • In their last 11 away games in Bundesliga, Hoffenheim have been undefeated on 9 occasions

 

Furthermore, Hoffenheim have suffered just two defeats in their last 11 away games. Home advantage often goes out the window when games are played behind closed doors, but this statistic will still fill Hoffenheim with confidence.

Looking at the injury news, Paderborn have no fresh concerns heading into this game. Meanwhile, Ishak Belfodil, Sargis Adamyan, Munas Dabbur, and Andrej Kramaric will all miss out for Hoffenheim.

Hoffenheim haven’t been in good form of late, but their superior head-to-head record over Paderborn suggests the away side will find a way to win on Saturday.

Forebet predicts that Hoffeinheim will keep yet another clean sheet against Paderborn on their way to victory.

Home team - Away team Probability in% Forebet Correct score Avg. goals Weather conditions Odds Kelly Criterion Score
1 X 2
Bundesliga | Round 27, Regular Season
flag_7 De1
PaderbornHoffenheim
23/05/2020 15:30 GMT
172756 2 0 - 1 1.87 16° 2.16 0.18
FT
1 - 1
(1 - 1)

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flag_7 De1
SC FreiburgBayer Leverkusen
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2
flag_7 De1
VfL WolfsburgEintracht Frankfurt
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flag_7 De1
Hertha BSCFC Augsburg
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flag_7 De1
MainzHoffenheim
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Regular Season
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L GF GA +/-
1. Bayern München 64 28 20 4 4 81 28 53
2. Borussia Dortmund 57 28 17 6 5 74 34 40
3. RB Leipzig 55 28 15 10 3 70 29 41
4. Mönchengladbach 53 28 16 5 7 53 34 19
5. Bayer Leverkusen 53 28 16 5 7 53 36 17
6. VfL Wolfsburg 42 28 11 9 8 40 34 6
7. Hoffenheim 39 28 11 6 11 39 48 -9
8. SC Freiburg 38 28 10 8 10 38 40 -2
9. Schalke 04 37 28 9 10 9 34 45 -11
10. Hertha BSC 35 28 9 8 11 41 50 -9
11. 1.FC Köln 34 28 10 4 14 44 52 -8
12. FC Augsburg 31 28 8 7 13 40 54 -14
13. Union Berlin 31 28 9 4 15 33 48 -15
14. Eintracht Frankfurt 29 27 8 5 14 44 52 -8
15. Mainz 28 28 8 4 16 37 61 -24
16. Fortuna Düsseldorf 27 28 6 9 13 31 53 -22
17. Werder Bremen 22 27 5 7 15 29 59 -30
18. Paderborn 19 28 4 7 17 31 55 -24

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