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Eintracht Frankfurt to make good on home first leg

Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Basel - 12/03/2020

Eintracht Frankfurt to make good on home first leg
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Eintracht Frankfurt are just a season removed from reaching the Europa League semifinals. They lost to eventual champions Chelsea on penalties at Stamford Bridge last season in heartbreaking fashion.

Now, the Eagles are on a mission to go one better and reach the final. Standing in their way on Thursday night is Switzerland’s FC Basel. The two sides will meet at the Commerzbank Arena in Frankfurt which will give Eintracht the decided edge in the fixture.

Basel faced Cyprus’ APOEL in the round of 32 dispatching their opponents 4-0 on aggregate. The Swiss team have been good in the Europa League but domestic results have been incredibly disappointing.

Marcel Koller’s team haven’t played since their February Europa League win against APOEL. The Swiss Super League is currently suspended due to health reasons after the spread of the coronavirus to Switzerland.

The lack of matches will be a major factor in the Europa League last 16 for Basel. Their last three matches in all competitions were postponed and fitness could be an issue for Koller and his players.

History is not on Basel’s side as they head across the Swiss-German border on Thursday night. They have lost all four of their previous knockout matches against German teams, losing on their last three trips. All three matches saw Basel fail to score a single goal.

Top Trends

  • Eintracht Frankfurt have managed to win by 2 or more goals in 7 of their 14 most recent home matches (Europa League)
  • The team of FC Basel have conceded an average of 0.50 goals in their matches in Europa League
  • Eintracht Frankfurt have a good record of 12 undefeated games of their last 14 home encounters in Europa League
  • In their last 6 home matches of Europa League, Eintracht Frankfurt achieved a total of 4 wins at HT/FT

 

If there is any hope for Basel, it comes in the form of Eintracht Frank’s most recent Bundesliga fixture. Adi Hutter’s team were thrashed 4-0 by Bayer Leverkusen away at the weekend.

Hutter will field his strongest squad possible with David Abraham and Timmy Chandler given starting roles. Daichi Kamada has starred in the Europa League for Eintracht Frankfurt and is the competition’s joint-highest scorer with six goals. He should start along with Andre Silva and Goncalo Paciencia.

Late goals could decide this fixture. Eintracht Frankfurt have scored 23.4% of their goals in all competitions in the final 15 minutes of matches. Basel have conceded 34% of their goals allowed in the final quarter of an hour.

Hutter is very familiar with Basel after the manager guided Young Boys Bern to Swiss Super League dominance a few seasons ago. History is on Eintracht Frankfurt’s side as they are unbeaten at the Commerzbank Arena in knockout Europa League football (W3, D3).

The Eagles should dominate Basel at home getting a first leg victory. The fixture should be low scoring with under 2.5 goals going in as Eintracht Frankfurt win at home.

Home team
Away team
Probability %
1X2
Pred
Correct score
Avg. goals
Weather conditions
Coef.
Score
Live
coef.
UEL
373132
1
2 - 0
1.99
1.69
1.69 3.88 5.30 1 -1 -1
FT
0 - 3(0 - 1)
-
- - -
Europa League Group A
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
West Ham 15 6 5 0 1 6
2
Freiburg 12 6 4 0 2 10
3
Olympiacos FC 7 6 2 1 3 -3
4
Backa Topola 1 6 0 1 5 -13
Europa League Group B
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Brighton 13 6 4 1 1 5
2
Olympique Marseille 11 6 3 2 1 4
3
Ajax 5 6 1 2 3 -3
4
AEK Athens 4 6 1 1 4 -6
Europa League Group C
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Rangers 11 6 3 2 1 2
2
Sparta Praha 10 6 3 1 2 2
3
Real Betis 9 6 3 0 3 2
4
Aris Limassol 4 6 1 1 4 -6
Europa League Group D
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Atalanta 14 6 4 2 0 8
2
Sporting CP 11 6 3 2 1 4
3
Sturm Graz 4 6 1 1 4 -5
4
Rakow Czestochowa 4 6 1 1 4 -7
Europa League Group E
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Liverpool 12 6 4 0 2 10
2
Toulouse 11 6 3 2 1 -1
3
Union Saint-Gilloise 8 6 2 2 2 -3
4
LASK Linz 3 6 1 0 5 -6
Europa League Group F
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Villarreal 13 6 4 1 1 2
2
Rennes 12 6 4 0 2 7
3
Maccabi Haifa 5 6 1 2 3 -6
4
Panathinaikos 4 6 1 1 4 -3
Europa League Group G
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Slavia Praha 15 6 5 0 1 13
2
Roma 13 6 4 1 1 8
3
Servette FC 5 6 1 2 3 -9
4
Sheriff Tiraspol 1 6 0 1 5 -12
Europa League Group H
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Bayer Leverkusen 18 6 6 0 0 16
2
Qarabag FK 10 6 3 1 2 -2
3
Molde FK 7 6 2 1 3 0
4
BK Häcken 0 6 0 0 6 -14

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