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Lazio to win the capital derby

30/08/19
Lazio to win the capital derby
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On Sunday evening, Lazio and Roma clash at the Stadio Olimpico in the Rome derby, in a game that is more than just about Serie A points.

Lazio started the new Serie A campaign with a 3-0 away win at Sampdoria. The victory still leaves the home side with a patchy recent record in the Italian top-flight going back to last season.

In fact, Lazio’s recent league record reads three wins, three defeats and one draw from their last seven outings in Serie A. The one similarity that Lazio’s recent games haven in common of late is lots of goals, as the home sides last seven have matches have produced over 2.5 goals.

Lazio’s recent home form will be a concern, as they have won just one of their last five matches on home soil in Serie A. Simone Inzaghi’s team have at least been prolific at the Stadio Olimpico in recent league games, scoring at least twice in five of their last seven home outings.

Roma kicked off their campaign with a 3-3 draw with Genoa. The draw may have been slightly disappointing, but it means the Giallorossi are now ten games undefeated in the Italian top-flight. However, five of those unbeaten games have ended all-square.

The Giallorossi are undefeated in their last four matches on their travels in Serie A, having drawn their last three games.

One win in their last six away games in the Italian top-flight is not a great record, but technically they are playing at their home stadium, despite being the nominal visitors.

Their recent away games have been low-scoring, with under 2.5 goals scored in the last four matches on their travels.

The recent meetings between these two teams have tended to be high-scoring. Forebet predicts that this game will be another high-scoring clash, with Lazio coming out on top.

Home team
Away team
Probability %
1X2
Pred
Correct score
Avg. goals
Weather conditions
Coef.
Score
Live
coef.
It1
363331
1
2 - 1
2.76
26°
2.11
2.11 3.65 3.40 -1 1 1
FT
1 - 1(0 - 1)
-
- - -
Serie A Regular Season
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Inter 86 33 27 5 1 61
2
Milan 69 33 21 6 6 25
3
Juventus 64 33 18 10 5 21
4
Bologna 62 33 17 11 5 22
5
Roma 55 32 16 7 9 19
6
Atalanta 54 32 16 6 10 22
7
Lazio 52 33 16 4 13 7
8
Napoli 49 33 13 10 10 9
9
Fiorentina 47 32 13 8 11 9
10
Torino 46 33 11 13 9 2
11
Monza 43 33 11 10 12 -8
12
Genoa 39 33 9 12 12 -5
13
Lecce 35 33 8 11 14 -18
14
Cagliari 32 33 7 11 15 -20
15
Hellas Verona 31 33 7 10 16 -13
16
Empoli 31 33 8 7 18 -22
17
Udinese 28 32 4 16 12 -18
18
Frosinone 28 33 6 10 17 -23
19
Sassuolo 26 33 6 8 19 -26
20
Salernitana 15 33 2 9 22 -44

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