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Can Albacete overturn their two-goal deficit to Mallorca?

14 June 2019 | Segunda Division | Preview
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Can Albacete overturn their two-goal deficit to Mallorca?

Albacete host Mallorca in the second leg of their Spanish Segunda promotion playoff semi-final on Sunday. The Spanish Segunda season is a marathon and the two teams are now just two games away from possible promotion.

Mallorca drew first blood in their semi-final tie on Thursday with a 2-0 win at home. It was a fantastic win with Mallorca tallying eight shots on target during the 90-minute affair while holding Albacete.

Albacete kept 58% of possession against Mallorca in the playoff semi-final first leg. Despite their possesson advantage Mallorca’s defence prevented Albacete from registering a shot on target.

Mallorca goalkeeper Manolo Reina faced just seven shots with none of them landing on target. Albacete will need to do better in front of goal but it isn’t just poor shooting that let them down.

Albacete allowed Mallorca to score their second goal in the 89th minute of the first leg. That late goal could be the strike that sees Mallorca through to the promotion final against either Deportivo La Coruna or Malaga.

Manager Luis Miguel Ramis’ side lost form at exactly the wrong time of the season. Albacete have lost three straight games with their defence conceding at least two goals in each. Two of those three games saw them held to clean sheets.

Mallorca finished the regular season in far better shape. The team are undefeated in their last three matches. Mallorca kept clean sheets in two of those games and scored three times in 270 minutes of football.

Thursday’s first leg result flew in the face of Albacete’s and Mallorca’s recent matches against each other. Albacete had won three straight matches against the Islanders.

Matches between the two teams are typically low scoring. Eight of their last 11 games ended with under 2.5 goals scored.

Sunday’s fixture should be another lacking in goals. Mallorca’s defence was solid in the first game and manager Vincente Moreno will have little reason to change his tactics.

An away goal would seal the semi-final win for Mallorca and Albacete will be conscious of getting hit on the counter-attack.

Albacete should dominate possession once more and see a lot of the ball as they camp out around the Mallorca 18-yard box. Albacete need goals to overcome their promotion semi-final deficit.

Despite dominating possession and their recent league encounters, Albacete will only manage a score draw against Mallorca. The Islanders will progress to the promotion final as under 2.5 goals are scored.

Home team - Away team Probability in% Forebet Correct score Avg. goals Weather conditions Odds Kelly Criterion Score
1 X 2
Segunda Division | Round 43, Promotion - Play Offs
flag_23 Es2
Albacete BalompieReal Mallorca
16/06/2019 19:00 GMT
374023 X 1 - 1 1.73 23° 3.10 0.11
FT
1 - 0
(1 - 0)

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Regular Season
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L GF GA +/-
1. CA Osasuna 87 42 26 9 7 59 35 24
2. Granada CF 79 42 22 13 7 52 28 24
3. Málaga CF 74 42 21 11 10 51 31 20
4. Albacete Balompie 71 42 19 14 9 54 38 16
5. Real Mallorca 69 42 19 12 11 53 37 16
6. Deportivo La Coruña 68 42 17 17 8 50 32 18
7. Cadiz CF 64 42 16 16 10 53 36 17
8. Real Oviedo 63 42 17 12 13 48 48 0
9. Sporting Gijón 61 42 16 13 13 43 38 5
10. UD Almería 60 42 15 15 12 51 39 12
11. Elche CF 55 42 13 16 13 49 52 -3
12. UD Las Palmas 54 42 12 18 12 48 50 -2
13. Extremadura UD 53 42 14 11 17 43 47 -4
14. Alcorcón 52 42 14 10 18 36 42 -6
15. Real Zaragoza 51 42 13 12 17 49 51 -2
16. CD Tenerife 50 42 11 17 14 40 50 -10
17. CD Numancia 49 42 11 16 15 44 50 -6
18. CD Lugo 47 42 10 17 15 43 51 -8
19. Rayo Majadahonda 45 42 12 9 21 46 61 -15
20. CG Tarragona 36 42 9 9 24 30 63 -33
21. Córdoba CF 34 42 7 13 22 48 79 -31
22. CF Reus Deportiu 0 42 5 6 31 16 48 -32

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