European Qualification on the Line in Seville

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We enter the final weekend of the 2018/19 La Liga season in Spain and there is an exciting finish in the race for the European qualifying positions.  One of the teams involved is Sevilla and on Saturday they host Athletic Bilbao at the Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán.

Sevilla begin the weekend in 6th place, 2 points behind Valencia in 4th and Getafe in 5th. Therefore, they need to win this game and hope both Valencia and Getafe slip-up.  Athletic Bilbao can finish level on points with Sevilla with a win but cannot finish any higher than their current position of 7th in the table.

The hosts come into their final game having picked up a point in a 1-1 draw at Atletico Madrid.  It was a good draw, especially having lost their previous two matches at Girona and at home to Leganes.

Trends show Sevilla have won just one of their last five La Liga games and that came at home against Rayo Vallecano.  It was a big 5-0 victory but did not spur them on to clinch the final Champions League place.

Sevilla have a decent home record, winning four of their last six matches.  They have defeated Real Sociedad, Deportivo Alaves, Real Betis and Rayo Vallecano.  Sevilla have scored 2 or more goals in each of those wins and trends show seven of their last nine home games have seen over 2.5 goals.

Athletic Bilbao have enjoyed a decent end to the campaign which has seen them move up the table. They have won six of their last twelve La Liga games and lost three.  Unfortunately, all three of the defeats have come away from home and they have lost to Getafe, Real Madrid and Real Valladolid.

Scoring goals has been a problem in recent away matches and Athletic Bilbao have failed to find the back of the net in four of their last six on the road.  They have also kept just a single clean sheet in the last six away games and this looks like being a tough match to end the season.

Looking ahead to the team news and Sevilla are without Roque Mesa and Ever Banega who are suspended.  They also have doubts over the fitness of Simon Kjær, Maxime Gonalons, Daniel Carrico, Andre Silva, Maximilian Wöber and Lucho Alberto García.

Athletic Bilbao have two players out with Gorka Guruzeta and Ander Iturraspe unlikely to play any part in the match.

This is a must-win game for Sevilla if they are to have any chance of qualifying the Champions League.  Fortunately, Athletic Bilbao are not great away from home and they should claim maximum points.

Home team
Away team

Probability %

1X2

Pred

Correct score

Avg. goals

Weather conditions

Coef.

Score

Live
coef.

Es1

Sevilla FC Athletic Bilbao 18/05/2019 16:15

413227

1

3 - 1

2.64

25°

2.12

2.12 3.25 3.85 1 -1 1

FT

2 - 0(1 - 0)

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