Language English (United Kingdom) Deutsch (Deutschland) Español(España) italiano (Italia) français (France) Русский (Россия) ελληνικά (Ελλάδα) Български (България) Român (România) Polski (Polska)

mathematical football predictions

Close[X]
 

Title Surely Out of Reach for PSV

14 May 2019 | Eredivisie | Preview
970
Title Surely Out of Reach for PSV
kivnl / Shutterstock

We have reached the final day of the 2018/19 Eredivisie season and it appears Ajax have already wrapped up the title.

They are 3 points clear of second placed PSV Eindhoven but their goal difference is so superior, it would take a huge swing for anything to change.

On Wednesday night, PSV host Heracles at home knowing they need to secure a massive win and hope Ajax suffer a big defeat.  Heracles have secured a Europa League playoff place but a win could see them improve their position in the table and enjoy a better draw.

PSV suffered a 1-0 defeat at AZ on the weekend which all but ended their title hopes for this season.  It was a disappointing defeat to a team who remain 22 points behind them in the league table.  It is their only defeat in their last six matches and they have lost two in their last twenty games in all competitions.

Home form is excellent and trends show PSV Eindhoven are undefeated in their last thirty-three league matches at the Philips Stadion.

They have scored 2 more goals in fourteen of their last sixteen home Eredivisie games and three or more goals in eleven of those sixteen matches.  Scoring goals is clearly not a problem on home soil and PSV will need plenty of them if they are to push Ajax close for the title.

Heracles lost 5-4 at home to Excelsior in what was a thrilling game on the weekend.  Having led the match 4-2 with under 20 minutes remaining, the hosts managed to somehow concede 3 goals, one of which was in the 89th minute and the other in the 91st minute to lose the game.

It was their second straight defeat following a 2-1 loss at AZ and trends show Heracles have won two of their last six league games.

Away form is not good and Heracles Almelo have won three of their last thirteen away Eredivisie games. They have no problem scoring goals but keeping clean sheets has proved a problem.  Heracles have one clean sheet in their last seven away league games and have conceded 2 or more goals in four of them.

However, they have not lost by more than a single goal in their last five away matches, including the tricky games at Feyenoord and AZ.

Team news and PSV look set to be without Ryan Thomas, Yannick Van Osch, and Hirving Lozano for the final game of the season.

Heracles also have a few names who could be missing with Robin Propper definitely out while Zeki Erkilinc, Sebastian Jakubiak and Niels Leemhuis are doubtful.

PSV will be desperate to end their season on a high following the result on the weekend.  Expect to see them attack hard from the first whistle and we could see a home win with both teams scoring.

Home team - Away team Probability in% Forebet Correct score Avg. goals Weather conditions Odds Kelly Criterion Score
1 X 2
Eredivisie | Round 34, Regular Season
flag_16 Nl1
PSV EindhovenHeracles Almelo
15/05/2019 19:30 GMT
652114 1 3 - 1 3.13 1.11
FT
3 - 1
(1 - 1)

Predictions for Eredivisie

Home team - Away team Forebet
flag_16 Nl1
FC UtrechtVitesse Arnhem
24/05/2019 19:45
1
flag_16 Nl1
FC UtrechtHeracles Almelo
21/05/2019 17:30
1
flag_16 Nl1
Vitesse ArnhemFC Groningen
21/05/2019 19:45
1
flag_16 Nl1
Heracles AlmeloFC Utrecht
18/05/2019 17:30
1

Holland Eredivisie - predictions, tips, statistics
Regular Season
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L GF GA +/-
1. AFC Ajax 86 34 28 2 4 119 32 87
2. PSV Eindhoven 83 34 26 5 3 98 26 72
3. Feyenoord 65 34 20 5 9 75 41 34
4. AZ Alkmaar 58 34 17 7 10 64 43 21
5. Vitesse Arnhem 53 34 14 11 9 70 51 19
6. FC Utrecht 53 34 15 8 11 60 51 9
7. Heracles Almelo 48 34 15 3 16 61 68 -7
8. FC Groningen 45 34 13 6 15 39 41 -2
9. ADO Den Haag 45 34 12 9 13 58 63 -5
10. Willem II Tilburg 44 34 13 5 16 58 72 -14
11. SC Heerenveen 41 34 10 11 13 64 73 -9
12. VVV Venlo 41 34 11 8 15 47 63 -16
13. PEC Zwolle 39 34 11 6 17 44 57 -13
14. FC Emmen 38 34 10 8 16 41 72 -31
15. Fortuna Sittard 34 34 9 7 18 50 80 -30
16. SBV Excelsior 33 34 9 6 19 46 79 -33
17. De Graafschap 29 34 8 5 21 38 75 -37
18. NAC Breda 23 34 5 8 21 29 74 -45
Europa League Play-offs - Finals
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L GF GA +/-
Europa League Play-offs - Semi-finals
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L GF GA +/-

Top trends

All trends