Must Win Game for Milan in Florence
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The battle for the top four in the Italian Serie A is really heating up and on Saturday AC Milan travel to Fiorentina with their hopes of Champions League football in the balance.
As things stand ahead of the weekend, AC Milan are in 5th place, 3 points behind 4th place Atalanta and 4 points behind third place Inter Milan. With three matches remaining, AC Milan cannot afford to drop points if they want to qualify for the Champions League next season.
Fiorentina have little to play for and it is probably a good job considering their recent form. They come into this game sitting 13th in Serie A and trends show they have failed to win any of their last thirteen games in all competitions.
You must go back to 17th February to find the last time they won a game and that was away to SPAL in Serie A.
Recent form shows four straight losses, three of which have come in Serie A. There have been defeats to Juventus and Empoli away plus Sassuolo at home. Fiorentina have even failed to win in-front of their own supporters in their last nine attempts in the league.
There have been three defeats and six draws and trends show Fiorentina have failed to score a goal in each of their last three home Serie A matches.
Fiorentina have seen under 2.5 goals in each of their last five home Serie A games.
AC Milan travel to Florence having defeated Bologna 2-1 at home last weekend to keep the pressure on the teams above them in the table. That was their first win in five games in all competitions following a defeat at home in the Coppa Italia against Lazio and a 2-0 loss at Torino in Serie A.
AC Milan need to up their game in terms of wins if they are to get back in the top four as they have won only two of their last eight league matches. Both wins have come at home and AC Milan have failed to win any of their last four away games.
However, they have lost only two of their last twelve away matches against Fiorentina and will believe they can get maximum points.
Team news and Fiorentina are without Marko Pjaca, who has a long term knee injury. Every other player is fit and available for the home team.
AC Milan are still without Giacomo Bonaventura and there are doubts over the fitness of Ivan Strinic and Davide Calabria.
Fiorentina have little play for while AC Milan have their Champions League hopes on the line, meaning the motivational levels could be different for both teams. Fiorentina are in dreadful form while AC Milan are not doing great themselves but are the most likely of the two to win the match with under 2.5 goals scored.
Home team
Away team
Pred
Correct score
Avg. goals
Weather conditions
Coef.
Score
Live
coef.
It1
253541
2
0 - 1
1.94
11°
2.41
2.93
3.38
2.41
-1
1
1
0 - 1(0 - 1)
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