Real Salt Lake and Saint Louis City Set for Western Conference Showdown in MLS

Real Salt Lake vs Saint Louis City - 07/06/2025

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Both Real Salt Lake and Saint Louis City arrive at Rio Tinto Stadium aiming to reverse recent fortunes. Each club faces pressure to collect points as the Western Conference race heats up, and with just a single win between them over their last six outings, focus will be squarely on seizing an opportunity to climb the table.

Recent history between these sides has been perfectly balanced, with each team recording a win in the last two meetings held at Rio Tinto Stadium. This head-to-head symmetry only adds to the sense of unpredictability ahead of their next encounter, suggesting that fine margins could again decide the outcome.

Real Salt Lake's recent form has been mixed. Over their past six matches in all competitions, they have recorded one win, two draws, and three defeats, managing to score an average of 1 goal per game while conceding 1.33. Their attacking output shows promise with an average of 17.67 shots per match, 5.33 of which have been on goal. Possession figures remain slightly above average at 51.83 percent, reflecting a team comfortable on the ball but perhaps lacking a consistent cutting edge.

Home form has been similarly inconsistent for Salt Lake. In their last three matches at Rio Tinto, they have secured a win, a draw, and a loss, scoring 1.33 and conceding 1 per contest. The side has averaged nearly 15 shots and just over 4 shots on target per match during this stretch, but results remain within the margins of error for a team fighting to climb from 13th in the West.

Main trends reveal Salt Lake have been winless in 12 of their last 15 fixtures across all competitions, and they've drawn four of their last eight. They have also dropped half of their last ten home games, so the track record signals the side must address defensive vulnerabilities to make home advantage count.

Saint Louis City, currently sitting one place below Salt Lake in 14th, are enduring a rough patch. They have lost four of their last six league fixtures and managed only one win, their attack averaging 1.33 goals per game but leaking 2 per contest. Possession stats sit at 49.17 percent and regular goal concession (1.55 per game on the season) paints a picture of a side struggling on both ends.

The away form for Saint Louis City also provides little comfort, as they have lost all of their last three away matches, scoring just 0.33 goals per game. Winless in 10 of their last 12 league contests and having lost 60 percent of their last 15 in all competitions, the team seeks solutions to halt their downward momentum.

Squad selection for both teams will be influenced by several injury absences. Real Salt Lake will be without E. Eneli, M. Bell, Z. MacMath, and J. Brown, while Saint Louis City miss Joakim Nilsson, Rasmus Alm, and Jannes Horn. Both clubs have rotated lineups in recent matches, typically deploying a 4-2-3-1 shape.

Considering recent lineups and available players, Salt Lake's probable starting eleven should be: G: Rafael Cabral; D: Noel Caliskan, Justen Glad, Brayan Vera, Alexandros Katranis; M: Nelson Palacio, Pablo Ruiz, Johnny Russell, Zavier Gozo, Diogo Gonçalves; A: William Agada.

For Saint Louis City, probable starters are: G: Roman Bürki; D: Tomas Totland, Kyle Hiebert, Timo Baumgartl, Jayden Reid; M: Akil Watts, Alfredo Morales, Marcel Hartel, Simon Becher, Celio Pompeu; A: João Klauss.

Looking at the tactical and performance data, Real Salt Lake possess a slight statistical edge at home, notably generating more shots and holding possession. Saint Louis City's defensive record on the road and lack of goals in recent trips suggest they face a significant challenge to reverse trends in this clash.

Prediction models from reputable analytics sources such as Forebet give Salt Lake a 45 percent probability of victory. While both teams have struggled for positive results, home advantage and marginally better form could tip the balance in Salt Lake's favor for this meeting.

Home team
Away team

Probability %

1X2

Pred

Correct score

Avg. goals

Weather conditions

Coef.

Score

Live
coef.

Us1

Real Salt Lake Saint Louis City 06/07/2025 03:30

453421

1

2 - 1

2.50

76°F

-167

-167 +333 +400 no no down

FT

3 - 2(2 - 0)

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