Momentum vs Quality: Austin FC and Los Angeles FC Clash at Q2 Stadium

Austin FC vs Los Angeles FC - 07/06/2025

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The Western Conference fixture between Austin FC and Los Angeles FC at Q2 Stadium arrives with intriguing subplots. With Austin's solid home streak and Los Angeles FC's attacking pedigree, both sides look to tip the balance in a postseason-relevant showdown.

Previous Encounter

The last meeting between these sides, on March 15, produced a narrow 1-0 win for Austin FC at Los Angeles. Despite being outshot 15 to 10, and with just 29 percent possession compared to LAFC's 71 percent, Austin found the pivotal moment through Guilherme Biro in the 11th minute. Both teams managed only two shots on target apiece, but LAFC's 111 dangerous attacks illustrated their frustration in the final third. Austin's efficiency in that contest remains a defining takeaway as these teams prepare to meet again.

Recent Form

Austin FC comes in with a balanced recent run, collecting 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 6 games, averaging a goal scored per match and conceding 1.17. Their home metrics look even stronger, with two wins and a draw, scoring 2 goals per match and conceding just one. Averaging 43.33 percent possession and 5.67 shots on target in those fixtures, Q2 Stadium seems to offer a reliable platform for their ambitions.

Los Angeles FC, meanwhile, has struggled for consistency, posting just one win in their last six. The team has found the net less than once per outing while conceding at a similar rate. Their away record is further dampened by averaging only 1.83 shots on target and 20.17 percent possession across their last trio of matches, signaling both offensive and midfield issues especially on the road.

Overall Performance

Austin FC holds 9th place in the West, with 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses through 20 matches. A minus-8 goal difference underlines scoring challenges as just 15 goals have arrived, against 23 conceded. In contrast, LAFC sits at 7th with 7 wins, 5 draws and just 5 losses from 17 games. The away side has tallied twice as many goals (30) but shipped 24, reflecting defensive lapses yet greater attacking quality over the campaign.

Main Trends

Austin has gone undefeated in 10 of their last 12 home matches in all competitions, with a solid average of 5.42 shots on goal and ball possession of 47.83 percent. Notably, they have drawn half of their last six home league games. Against LAFC, they have lost 58 percent of their last 12 encounters, so the historical matchup tilts to LA, but recent head-to-head saw Austin collect an important win.

LAFC, for their part, have drawn seven of their past 14 overall but lost three of their last six. Their away form suffers, as they are winless in 8 of their last 10 on the road, and have lost 7 of their last 12 away. Only 8 percent of the last 12 away outings ended in victory.

Probable Lineups

With no players sidelined for Austin FC, a familiar 4-4-2 setup is likely to be employed. The expected lineup: Goalkeeper Brad Stuver; defenders Mikkel Desler, Brendan Hines-Ike, Oleksandr Svatok, Guilherme Biro; midfielders Daniel Pereira, Besard Sabović, Osman Bukari, Jon Gallagher; and up front, Brandon Vázquez and Owen Wolff.

For LAFC, three regulars are sidelined: Ryan Raposo (ankle), Odin Holm (leg) and Artem Smolyakov (suspension). A likely 4-3-3 formation will be led by Hugo Lloris in goal; the back four of Sergi Palencia, Eddie Segura, Aaron Long, and Marlon. In midfield: Igor Jesus, Marky Delgado, and Frankie Amaya. The attacking trio probably consists of Denis Bouanga, Jeremy Ebobisse, and Nathan Ordaz, with Olivier Giroud an impact option off the bench.

Sidelined

LAFC are missing Ryan Raposo, Odin Holm and Artem Smolyakov due to injury and suspension. Austin FC are at full strength.

Prediction

Statistically, LAFC's overall attacking depth and superior goal output contrasts with Austin's strong home form and defensive resilience. However, LAFC's away struggles and missing players could swing the pendulum. The Forebet algorithm assigns a 34 percent probability to an LAFC win, forecasting a 0-2 scoreline, but Austin's undefeated home streak in 10 of their last 12 could make for a closer contest than numbers suggest.

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Away team

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Austin FC Los Angeles FC 06/07/2025

323334

2

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2.17

79°F

+140

+188 +240 +140 down no down

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