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Atletico Madrid look to regain top spot against Osasuna

Atlético Madrid vs Osasuna - 12/01/2025

10/01/25
Atletico Madrid look to regain top spot against Osasuna
Marta Fernandez Jimenez / Shutterstock.com
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Atlético Madrid might have lost the number one spot in the standings, but they can get back there if they win this match against the very sturdy Osasuna.

Atlético have been in stellar form, winning all six of their most recent matches. They have been beating teams left and right, and it’s why they’re still in the title race with arch-rivals Real Madrid.

Osasuna, on the other hand, are a solid side sitting at number eight in the standings. They’re not superbly good but not that bad either, which their standing reflects.

Osasuna are not easily beaten, but equally, don’t win too many matches either, making them quite unpredictable. Atlético does tend to struggle with matchups like this at times. We dive into the latest predictive analytics to determine who will come out on top this Sunday.

Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna preview

Atletico Madrid team form

As mentioned above, Madrid have been on fire recently, winning most of their matches without too many problems. The team gel nicely, they know each other well, and it's simply a winning combination.

Another bonus for them in this one is that they rested most of their starters in the Cup matchup from earlier this week, allowing the best team to be ready for this very important match.

Bottom line, this is a must-win match for them. With the form they’re in, fans are going to come into this one expecting a win without too many complications, even if Osasuna can be very tough to beat.

Osasuna team form

Osasuna also played earlier this week in the Cup, but they fielded their strongest team which might contribute to some fatigue this weekend. This isn’t a squad that is used to playing two matches in a week and we might see impact of that in this match.

On a more general note, they are a pretty sturdy team that is not beaten easily. They only have five losses in 18 matches so far this year, and they don’t even concede that many goals.

They won’t be expected to do much in Madrid, but they’re not without chances. Last year they smashed Atletico on their pitch 4-1, so if they can tap into something similar this time around, they might be able to leave the Wanda Metropolitano undefeated once more.

Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna prediction

All the data ahead of this one points to a pretty simple win by Atlético Madrid.

They are the better team, they have played in better form lately, and they will be more rested for this one. Another thing to note is the emotional impact of the 1-4 defeat they suffered at home last year, which should motivate them pretty heavily as it was a pretty embarrassing loss.

Atlético are behind Real Madrid in the standings, and with a win, they go over them, so that’s really all the motivation they need. Our algorithm agrees that a home team win is the most likely outcome.

Home team
Away team
Probability %
1X2
Pred
Correct score
Avg. goals
Weather conditions
Coef.
Score
Live
coef.
Es1
474112
1
2 - 1
2.50
13°
1.33
1.33 4.75 10.00 no no no
FT
1 - 0(0 - 0)
-
- - -
La Liga
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Real Madrid 46 20 14 4 2 27
2
Atlético Madrid 44 20 13 5 2 21
3
Barcelona 39 20 12 3 5 29
4
Athletic Bilbao 39 20 11 6 3 13
5
Villarreal 33 20 9 6 5 7
6
Real Mallorca 30 20 9 3 8 -6
7
Real Sociedad 28 20 8 4 8 3
8
Girona 28 20 8 4 8 1
9
Osasuna 27 21 6 9 6 -5
10
Sevilla 26 20 7 5 8 -6
11
Rayo Vallecano 26 20 6 8 6 0
12
Real Betis 25 20 6 7 7 -4
13
Celta Vigo 24 20 7 3 10 -3
14
Las Palmas 23 21 6 5 10 -8
15
Leganes 22 20 5 7 8 -10
16
Getafe 20 20 4 8 8 -3
17
Deportivo Alavés 20 20 5 5 10 -8
18
Espanyol 19 20 5 4 11 -13
19
Valencia 16 20 3 7 10 -10
20
Real Valladolid 15 20 4 3 13 -25

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