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Italian Supercup Champions Milan host Cagliari in first match after trophy run

Milan vs Cagliari - 11/01/2025

10/01/25
Italian Supercup Champions Milan host Cagliari in first match after trophy run
Fabrizio Andrea Bertani / Shutterstock.com
2013

Milan played fantastic football in Saudi Arabia to win the Supercup, and now they’ll hope to translate that to the Serie A.

Milan haven’t had a very good year so far, struggling to string together wins. They are not in the Champions League positions, which was the goal before the season, so they changed coaches.

Under Sergio Conceicao, they quickly beat Juventus and Inter in back-to-back matches to secure the team the Supercup. That was a massive coup, but now it’s about translating that to the Series A. They need points.

Cagliari is not the easiest team to play against, but at home, the Milan side should be favoured to get it done. Keep reading our Milan vs Cagliari preview to find out if they will.

Milan vs Cagliari preview

Milan team form

The form of Milan has generally been decent lately with four wins in the last six matches they played. Even before Conceicao took over, the squad was heading into sunnier places, and now they’re there.

Beating Juventus and Inter was impressive, and they look to be turning a corner. The confirmation of that could come when they face Cagliari at home, whom they have to beat if they want to have any hope of redeeming their season.

It’s time for them to finally start playing up to a certain standard because they do have one of the better teams in the league, roster-wise. They also can’t afford to miss out on the Champions League. Right now they’re eight points out, making this a must-win.

Cagliari team form

Cagliari might have won the last match they played, but before that the team was massively struggling with five losses in a row. They’re sitting at number 18 on the standings, which shows that it’s not a very good team overall.

The win they had came over Monza, which is the worst team in the league. It doesn’t really mean anything in the grand scheme of things, certainly not that they’re now finally out of the funk.

Playing at San Siro has never been that comfortable for the team, as they lost 5-1 and 4-1 the last two times they were there.

Milan vs Cagliari prediction

This could be a very interesting matchup between two teams that are in contrasting moods right now. Even with the win, Cagliari are not enjoying life right now, with the overall level of play being rather poor.

Milan is going to come into this one riding the biggest high of the season after winning the Supercup, but there is danger there. If they don’t take this seriously, they might find themselves struggling to win a match they have to win.

There is confidence that the new coach will keep them sharp, and if he does, this shouldn’t be a massive problem for the home team. Our algorithm predicts they will get the job done and prevail 1-0, given they spilled points earlier this year after losing a 3-1 lead when they last visited Sardinia.

Home team
Away team
Probability %
1X2
Pred
Correct score
Avg. goals
Weather conditions
Coef.
Score
Live
coef.
It1
632512
1
1 - 0
2.45
1.36
1.36 4.50 8.50 no no no
FT
1 - 1(0 - 0)
-
- - -

Serie A

Serie A Regular Season
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Napoli 50 21 16 2 3 21
2
Inter 47 20 14 5 1 33
3
Atalanta 43 21 13 4 4 22
4
Lazio 39 21 12 3 6 9
5
Juventus 37 21 8 13 0 17
6
Bologna 33 20 8 9 3 6
7
Fiorentina 33 20 9 6 5 12
8
Milan 31 20 8 7 5 8
9
Roma 27 21 7 6 8 4
10
Torino 26 22 6 8 8 -3
11
Udinese 26 21 7 5 9 -8
12
Genoa 23 21 5 8 8 -12
13
Calcio Como 22 21 5 7 9 -8
14
Cagliari 21 22 5 6 11 -13
15
Lecce 20 21 5 5 11 -21
16
Parma 20 21 4 8 9 -10
17
Empoli 20 21 4 8 9 -8
18
Verona 19 21 6 1 14 -23
19
Venezia 15 21 3 6 12 -15
20
Monza 13 21 2 7 12 -11

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