Can Brighton end their long winless streak in the FA Cup third round?
Norwich City vs Brighton - 11/01/2025
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Brighton are on an incredibly long run of winless results. The Seagulls’ last win in any competition was on November 23. Will our algorithm predict a Brighton win in the FA Cup third round?
Norwich City will host Brighton on Saturday in the FA Cup at Carrow Road. Brighton failed to win their last eight games, which all came in the Premier League.
Despite the Seagulls failing to win eight straight matches, they picked up six draws and only two defeats during that span.
Manager Fabian Hurzeler will be buoyed by Brighton’s 1-1 draw last weekend against Arsenal and hope the team can turn things around.
Saturday’s match at Carrow Road will be the first between these clubs since 2021-22 when both were in the Premier League.
While Brighton struggled for wins in their last eight games, Norwich City went unbeaten in their most recent fixtures. The Canaries picked up three wins and a draw in their last four matches – all of which were played in the Championship.
Norwich are once again fighting for a place in the Championship’s promotion playoffs. They are currently four points off the top six. Although promotion is more important to Norwich, don’t expect them to roll over for the Seagulls.
Indeed, Norwich have the chance to take the scalp of one of the most exciting Premier League teams.
The Canaries have been exciting going forward in the Championship this season, averaging 1.7 goals per match. In fact, Norwich City are the third-highest scoring team in the division.
The team’s defence has been its weakest link, however. Norwich have allowed 37 goals in the Championship for an average of 1.4 goals allowed per game.
Brighton have also had issues with their defence in 2024-25. Hurzeler’s team allowed 29 goals in 29 games, while scoring 30 times. Five of Brighton’s last six games saw both teams score.
Although Norwich are in the Championship, they do have the firepower to trouble Brighton’s defence. Moreover, Norwich will be playing at Carrow Road and will have their fans behind them.
Borja Sainz is Noriwch’s leading goal scorer with 16 in all competitions. No Norwich player other than Sainz has scored more than four goals. Danny Welbeck is Brighton’s top scorer with six goals.
Norwich should trouble Brighton at Carrow Road in the FA Cup third round. However, our score prediction is for a Brighton 2-1 win to end their winless run.
Home team
Away team
Pred
Correct score
Avg. goals
Weather conditions
Coef.
Score
Live
coef.
FA
253540
2
1 - 2
2.72
3°
1.55
6.00
4.00
1.55
no
no
no
0 - 4(0 - 2)
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