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Trends Point Towards Low-Scoring Clash Between In-Form Juventude and Struggling Vitoria

Juventude vs Vitória - 12/06/2024

Trends Point Towards Low-Scoring Clash Between In-Form Juventude and Struggling Vitoria
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The only team without a win in Brazil’s Serie A this season will aim to taste victory when they visit Estadio Alfredo Jaconi on Tuesday.

With seven matches in the books, lowly Vitoria find themselves rock bottom of the table on two points – seven points behind hosts Juventude.

If you’re looking for stats and mathematics-based analysis, you’ve come to the right place. Read on to discover what Forebet’s AI algorithm predicts for Tuesday’s showdown.

Let’s start by looking at the hosts, Juventude, who head into this clash on the back of a 1-0 victory over Atletico Goianiense, despite conceding 58% possession and 22 shots.

That win means that Juventude enter Tuesday’s encounter on a three-game unbeaten streak, having played out 1-1 draws with Fluminense and Athletico Paranaense.

When you look at the bigger picture, Juventude have lost just one of their six Serie A matches this season, picking up two wins and three draws.

It is also worth noting that only one of their six games has produced over 2.5 goals, with four of those clashes dishing up exactly two goals.

Meanwhile, Vitoria played out a goalless draw with fellow strugglers Cuiaba in their previous game, preventing their hosts from registering a single attempt on target.

That result means that Vitoria are still the only winless team in Brazil’s top flight this term, having recorded two draws and five defeats so far.

To make matters worse for Vitoria, only one team – Vasco da Gama – has conceded more goals this season, with the visitors conceding at a rate of 1.9 goals per game.

Having failed to score in each of their last two games – receiving four red cards in their previous four – Vitoria can have no complaints about their current situation.

Head-to-head: Across all competitions, Juventude have managed to win only two of their last 11 meetings with Vitoria, although five of those games were drawn.

Given that each of their previous five encounters produced under 2.5 goals, Tuesday’s clash will likely be a low-scoring affair.

Team news: Juventude’s injury list features Gabriel Taliari, Jean Carlos, Kleiton and Renan. Joao Lucas will also miss the game through the suspension.

Vitoria also have a number of injury absentees, with Raul Caceres, Rodrigo Andrade, Everaldo and Mateus expected to miss the upcoming match.

When you couple Vitoria’s poor form with the low-scoring history of this fixture, all the signs point towards a narrow win for the home side.

Forebet predicts that Juventude will score under 1.5 goals and keep a clean sheet on their way to defeating struggling Vitoria.

Home team
Away team
Probability %
1X2
Pred
Correct score
Avg. goals
Weather conditions
Coef.
Score
Live
coef.
Br1
523711
1
1 - 0
2.00
18°
1.95
1.95 3.20 4.20 no no no
FT
1 - 1(1 - 1)
-
- - -

Brasileiro Serie A

Brasileiro Serie A
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Botafogo 16 8 5 1 2 7
2
Flamengo 14 7 4 2 1 7
3
Bahia 14 7 4 2 1 3
4
São Paulo 13 7 4 1 2 6
5
Atlético PR 13 7 4 1 2 5
6
Atlético Mineiro 13 7 3 4 0 7
7
RB Bragantino 12 8 3 3 2 2
8
Palmeiras 11 7 3 2 2 1
9
Internacional 10 5 3 1 1 2
10
Cruzeiro 10 6 3 1 2 -1
11
Fortaleza 10 6 2 4 0 2
12
Juventude 10 7 2 4 1 -1
13
Grêmio 6 5 2 0 3 -1
14
Vasco da Gama 6 7 2 0 5 -10
15
Corinthians 6 8 1 3 4 -3
16
Fluminense 6 8 1 3 4 -5
17
Criciúma 5 5 1 2 2 0
18
Atlético GO 5 8 1 2 5 -5
19
Cuiabá 4 7 1 1 5 -8
20
Vitória 3 8 0 3 5 -8

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