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Gremio seeking win or draw in Copa Libertadores to go top of Group C

Grêmio vs Estudiantes La Plata - 09/06/2024

Gremio seeking win or draw in Copa Libertadores to go top of Group C
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Brazil’s Gremio will wrap up their Copa Libertadores Group C campaign on Saturday against Argentina’s Estudiantes. A win or draw for Gremio would see them top Group C. Will our algorithm back Gremio to pick up a result?

Estudiantes have already been eliminated from progression in the Copa Libertadores. Indeed, the Argentine team cannot even progress to the Copa Sudamericana.

The club from La Plata are aiming to cause a shake up in the Copa Libertadores, however. A win over Gremio would see the Brazilians finish second in the group behind Bolivian club, The Strongest.

Gremio have not had the best campaign in Group C. They fell 2-0 to The Strongest to start the tournament and lost on matchday 2 to Chile’s Huachipato.

Matchday No. 3 saw Gremio get their act together with a 1-0 away win against Estudiantes. A 4-0 win over The Strongest and 1-0 victory over Huachipato then followed. It has been all or nothing for Gremio in the group stage.

They have scored six goals and conceded four times in five matches. Gremio have had six different goal scorers in the Copa. Four of their six tournament goals have come in the second half of matches.

Estudiantes started the group stage in fine form, picking up four points from six. However, things went off the rails from there. The Argentine team lost its next three games, eliminating them from progression.

The Rat Stabbers scored six goals and conceded eight in their five group stage matches. Twice they were held scoreless in the group stage.

These teams have met three times dating back to 2018. The teams shared the wins with one apiece and one draw. However, the draw saw Gremio go on to victory in a penalty shootout. The previous three encounters saw Gremio outscore Estudiantes 9-6.

Gremio’s Franco Cristaldo and Yeferson Soteldo are top of the goal scoring chart in league and Copa Libertadores matches. However, the duo has tallied just four goals in total – two apiece.

Javier Correa leads Estudiantes in goals in the Copa Libertadores with three. He scored twice on matchday 5 in Estudiantes’ 4-3 loss at home to Huachipato.

Although Gremio won the reverse fixture against Estudiantes, the Argentine club cannot be counted out from winning on Saturday in Brazil. Just one goal separated these teams previously. Nathan Fernandes’ 75th-minute goal was the difference.

Our algorithm predicts a score of 1-0 once more, however, this time, it will be Estudiantes de la Plata picking up the victory.

Home team
Away team
Probability %
1X2
Pred
Correct score
Avg. goals
Weather conditions
Coef.
Score
Live
coef.
CLA
362737
2
0 - 1
2.49
21°
5.00
1.70 3.75 5.00 no no no
FT
1 - 1(0 - 0)
-
- - -

Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores Group A
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Fluminense 14 6 4 2 0 4
2
Colo Colo 6 6 1 3 2 -1
3
Cerro Porteño 6 6 1 3 2 -1
4
Alianza Lima 4 6 0 4 2 -2
Copa Libertadores Group B
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
São Paulo 13 6 4 1 1 7
2
Talleres Córdoba 13 6 4 1 1 4
3
Barcelona SC 6 6 1 3 2 -3
4
Cobresal 1 6 0 1 5 -8
Copa Libertadores Group C
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
The Strongest 10 6 3 1 2 2
2
Grêmio 10 6 3 1 2 2
3
CD Huachipato 8 6 2 2 2 -2
4
Estudiantes La Plata 5 6 1 2 3 -2
Copa Libertadores Group D
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Junior Barranquilla 10 6 2 4 0 3
2
Botafogo 10 6 3 1 2 1
3
LDU Quito 7 6 2 1 3 0
4
Universitario 5 6 1 2 3 -4
Copa Libertadores Group E
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Bolívar 13 6 4 1 1 4
2
Flamengo 10 6 3 1 2 7
3
CD Palestino 7 6 2 1 3 -5
4
Millonarios 3 6 0 3 3 -6
Copa Libertadores Group F
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Palmeiras 14 6 4 2 0 9
2
San Lorenzo 8 6 2 2 2 0
3
Ind del Valle 7 6 2 1 3 -1
4
Liverpool (URU) 4 6 1 1 4 -8
Copa Libertadores Group G
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Atlético Mineiro 15 6 5 0 1 8
2
CA Peñarol 12 6 4 0 2 7
3
Rosario Central 7 6 2 1 3 1
4
Caracas 1 6 0 1 5 -16
Copa Libertadores Group H
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
River Plate 16 6 5 1 0 9
2
Nacional (URU) 10 6 3 1 2 1
3
Libertad 7 6 2 1 3 -1
4
Deportivo Tachira 1 6 0 1 5 -9

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