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Winner Takes All as Ukraine Meet Italy for a Place at Euro 2024

Ukraine vs Italy - 20/11/2023

Euro Qualifiers | Preview
20/11/23
Winner Takes All as Ukraine Meet Italy for a Place at Euro 2024
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The final round of group fixtures in Group C of 2024 European Championship qualifying includes the meeting between Ukraine and Italy.

The game will take place on the 20th of November at the BayArena, Leverkusen and Ukraine are currently third in the group on 13 points, with Italy on the same number of points but in second place due to a superior head-to-head record.

Ukraine come into the match having recorded a 3-1 win at Malta in 2024 European Championship qualifying. It was Malta who took a shock lead in the 12th minute but Ukraine equalised in the 38th minute.

There was still time in the first half for Ukraine to take the lead and they led 2-1 at the interval. Ukraine scored their third goal 5 minutes from time to seal the victory.

The win over Malta means Ukraine are undefeated in 6 of their last 7 fixtures in all competitions. There have been wins over Malta and North Macedonia at home plus North Macedonia away in Euro 2024 qualifying. Ukraine picked up a point in a 1-1 draw against England but lost 2-1 to Italy in Group C. Ukraine were also held to a 3-3 draw in a friendly against Germany.

Trends show Ukraine are undefeated in 15 of their 17 most recent European Championship qualifiers.

They have won 7 of their last 8 when playing as the home team and have seen under 2.5 goals scored in 5 of their last 6 home European Championship qualifying matches.

Italy travel to Leverkusen on the back of a 5-2 home win over North Macedonia in Group C. The Italians raced into a 3-0 lead in the first half but it was not always easy in the second period and North Macedonia pulled two goals back after half time.

However, Italy scored their fourth goal in the 81st minute and a fifth in added time.

The win over North Macedonia means Italy are undefeated in 5 of their 6 most recent games, 5 of which have been played in 2024 European Championship qualifying.

There have been wins over Ukraine, Malta, and North Macedonia at home plus a 1-1 draw in North Macedonia. Italy also beat Netherlands in the Nations League third place final.

Trends show Italy are undefeated in 45 of their last 47 European Championship qualifiers. However, they have failed to win their 2 most recent away European Championship qualifying matches.

Team news and Ukraine can call upon the Premier League trio of Oleksandr Zinchenko, Mykhailo Mudryk, and Vitalii Mykolenko. Roman Yaremchuk of Valencia should start up-front.

Italy are likely to start with a similar XI to the win over North Macedonia. The only change could see Davide Frattesi come into central midfield in place of Giacomo Bonaventura. Giovanni Di Lorenzo is available having been suspended against North Macedonia.

Forebet predicts a win for Italy in a high-scoring encounter, securing the Azzurri a spot in Euro 2024.

Home team
Away team
Probability %
1X2
Pred
Correct score
Avg. goals
Weather conditions
Coef.
Score
Live
coef.
EuQ
233839
2
0 - 2
2.27
-1°
1.70
5.00 3.75 1.70 no no no
FT
0 - 0(0 - 0)
-
- - -

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X
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Euro Qualifiers Group A
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
 Spain 21 8 7 0 1 20
2
 Scotland 17 8 5 2 1 9
3
 Norway 11 8 3 2 3 2
4
 Georgia 8 8 2 2 4 -6
5
 Cyprus 0 8 0 0 8 -25
Euro Qualifiers Group B
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
 France 22 8 7 1 0 26
2
 Netherlands 18 8 6 0 2 10
3
 Greece 13 8 4 1 3 6
4
 Ireland 6 8 2 0 6 -1
5
 Gibraltar 0 8 0 0 8 -41
Euro Qualifiers Group C
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
 England 20 8 6 2 0 18
2
 Italy 14 8 4 2 2 7
3
 Ukraine 14 8 4 2 2 3
4
 North Macedonia 8 8 2 2 4 -10
5
 Malta 0 8 0 0 8 -18
Euro Qualifiers Group D
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
 Türkiye 17 8 5 2 1 7
2
 Croatia 16 8 5 1 2 9
3
 Wales 12 8 3 3 2 0
4
 Armenia 8 8 2 2 4 -2
5
 Latvia 3 8 1 0 7 -14
Euro Qualifiers Group E
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
 Albania 15 8 4 3 1 8
2
 Czech Republic 15 8 4 3 1 6
3
 Poland 11 8 3 2 3 0
4
 Moldova 10 8 2 4 2 -3
5
 Faroe Islands 2 8 0 2 6 -11
Euro Qualifiers Group F
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
 Belgium 20 8 6 2 0 18
2
 Austria 19 8 6 1 1 10
3
 Sweden 10 8 3 1 4 2
4
 Azerbaijan 7 8 2 1 5 -10
5
 Estonia 1 8 0 1 7 -20
Euro Qualifiers Group G
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
 Hungary 18 8 5 3 0 9
2
 Serbia 14 8 4 2 2 6
3
 Montenegro 11 8 3 2 3 -2
4
 Lithuania 6 8 1 3 4 -6
5
 Bulgaria 4 8 0 4 4 -7
Euro Qualifiers Group H
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
 Denmark 22 10 7 1 2 9
2
 Slovenia 22 10 7 1 2 11
3
 Finland 18 10 6 0 4 8
4
 Kazakhstan 18 10 6 0 4 4
5
 N. Ireland 9 10 3 0 7 -4
6
 San Marino 0 10 0 0 10 -28
Euro Qualifiers Group I
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
 Romania 22 10 6 4 0 11
2
 Switzerland 17 10 4 5 1 11
3
 Israel 15 10 4 3 3 0
4
 Belarus 12 10 3 3 4 -5
5
 Kosovo 11 10 2 5 3 0
6
 Andorra 2 10 0 2 8 -17
Euro Qualifiers Group J
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
 Portugal 30 10 10 0 0 34
2
 Slovakia 22 10 7 1 2 9
3
 Luxembourg 17 10 5 2 3 -6
4
 Iceland 10 10 3 1 6 1
5
 Bosnia-Herzegovina 9 10 3 0 7 -11
6
 Liechtenstein 0 10 0 0 10 -27

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