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Juventus to claim Derby d’Italia bragging rights at expense of Inter

Inter Milano vs Juventus FC - 19/03/2023

17/03/23
Juventus to claim Derby d’Italia bragging rights at expense of Inter
Fabrizio Andrea Bertani / Shutterstock.com
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The Derby d’Italia takes centre stage in Serie A this weekend, with arch-rivals Inter Milan and Juventus locking horns at the San Siro on Sunday night.

Following Juventus’ 15-point deduction, Max Allegri’s side find themselves seventh in the table – 10 points outside the Champions League spots.

Meanwhile, second-placed Inter Milan hold a 12-point lead over Juventus, with table-topping Napoli sitting 18 points clear at the summit.

Inter Milan booked their place in the quarter-finals of the UEFA Champions League with a 1-0 aggregate victory over FC Porto in midweek, playing out a goalless draw in Portugal.

That said, Inter’s Serie A form has not been great in recent weeks, as they have lost two of their previous three league outings.

After suffering a 1-0 defeat to Bologna, Inter claimed a 2-0 victory over Lecce before returning to losing ways with a shock 2-1 defeat to Spezia last weekend.

It is worth noting, however, that Inter have won each of their past three home league games, so they will fancy their chances of frustrating Juventus.

As for Juve, they punched their ticket to the UEFA Europa League quarter-finals with a 2-0 win against DC Freiburg on Thursday, advancing thanks to a 3-0 aggregate victory.

The Old Lady extended their winning streak to three games in the process, and they have also won nine of their previous 11 outings across all competitions.

Juventus have only lost five of their 26 Serie A matches this season, suffering three defeats fewer than Inter, who have recorded just two draws to Juve’s five.

It is also worth pointing out that Juventus have conceded eight goals fewer than Inter, giving them the third-best defensive record in the division.

Head-to-head: Inter Milan have only managed to win one of their last eight games against Juventus across all competitions.

Given that seven of the previous 10 meetings between Inter and Juve have produced under 2.5 goals, a low-scoring clash is on the cards this weekend.

Team news: Inter Milan will be without the injured duo of Alessandro Bastoni (thigh) and Robin Gosens (muscle) for the foreseeable future.

Meanwhile, Juventus’ injury list contains Leonardo Bonucci, Paul Pogba, Alex Sandro, Arkadiusz Milik and Kaio Jorge.

When you couple Inter’s recent Serie A struggles with Juve’s impressive recent record in this fixture, all the signs point towards an away victory here.

Forebet predicts that Juventus will score over 1.5 goals and keep a clean sheet en route to dispatching Inter Milan.

Home team
Away team
Probability %
1X2
Forebet
Correct score
Avg. goals
Weather conditions
Odds
Score
Live
odds
It1
352638
2
0 - 2
2.38
13°
3.90
1.95 3.40 3.90 no no no
FT
0 - 1(0 - 1)
-
- - -
Serie A
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L GF GA +/-
1
SSC Napoli 71 27 23 2 2 64 16 48
2
Lazio 52 27 15 7 5 42 19 23
3
Inter Milano 50 27 16 2 9 47 31 16
4
AC Milan 48 27 14 6 7 44 36 8
5
AS Roma 47 27 14 5 8 35 26 9
6
Atalanta Bergamo 45 27 13 6 8 44 31 13
7
Juventus FC 41 27 17 5 5 45 22 23
8
Udinese Calcio 38 27 9 11 7 37 31 6
9
Torino FC 37 27 10 7 10 29 33 -4
10
Bologna FC 37 27 10 7 10 33 36 -3
11
Fiorentina 37 27 10 7 10 32 31 1
12
Sassuolo Calcio 36 27 10 6 11 35 40 -5
13
Monza 34 27 9 7 11 32 37 -5
14
Empoli FC 28 27 6 10 11 24 36 -12
15
US Lecce 27 27 6 9 12 24 32 -8
16
Salernitana 27 27 6 9 12 31 47 -16
17
Spezia Calcio 24 27 5 9 13 23 43 -20
18
Hellas Verona 19 27 4 7 16 22 41 -19
19
Sampdoria 15 27 3 6 18 16 44 -28
20
Cremonese 13 27 1 10 16 22 49 -27

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